One of the world’s largest risk advisory firms says Canadian real estate won’t be spared. Moody’s Analytics released their Canadian Q2 forecast, showing how COVID-19 will impact the Canadian economy. The firm advised their institutional clients that real estate will be impacted, with even an optimistic scenario showing price declines. Risk Assumptions and Baselines First, […]
Canadians using their home as an ATM was drying up before the pandemic. Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) filings show the balance of credit secured by homes showing minimal growth in February. The slowdown is almost entirely due to a drop in personal loans in this segment, such as HELOCs. Loans Secured […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories. Canadian Real Estate Employment In Canada’s Largest Cities Is Worse Than It Looks The unemployment rate in Canada’s biggest cities is rising, but doesn’t capture how bad things are. In Toronto the unemployment rate reached 7.8% in March, up 11.42% from last year. This […]
Canada’s largest real estate markets should prepare for a very different economy over the next few years. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows unemployment in Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal made big climbs in March. As bad as the loss is, it’s muted by a rapid decline in the participation rate. This means the loss of […]
Canadians got temporary price relief, but it could be a sign of more serious issues brewing. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) reported one of the largest declines in the history of the consumer price index (CPI) for March. The decline puts the index’ growth to one of the lowest levels in years. While low to no […]
Greater Vancouver is seeing insolvencies climb, not unlike the rest of Canada. Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy (OSB) filings show insolvencies increased in February. While the increase was in the double digits, the city managed a slower increase than the province as a whole. Greater Vancouver Insolvencies Rise Over 10% Greater Vancouver insolvencies are […]
Greater Toronto insolvencies are following the rest of the country towards multi-year highs. Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy (OSB) filings show the number of insolvencies increased in February. This is a general trend that has been occurring across the country. Greater Toronto insolvencies are growing at a faster rate than Ontario as a whole, […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Parliament’s Forecast Includes Unemployment Peaking In Q3 Canadian parliament’s economic forecasts include unemployment rising even further. The PBO economic forecast currently sees 14.8% unemployment in Q2, and the ratio peaking at 15% in Q3. At the end of last year […]
The Canadian government isn’t exactly planning for a v-shaped employment recovery. The Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO), who gives non-partisan financial forecasts to parliament, updated their forecasts. While the focus of the forecast is how the federal government’s finances will look, there’s some interesting assumptions that are important from a macro perspective. The government is planning […]
Canada is trying to exit a tough situation with the only trick it knows – cheap money. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows the effective interest rate paid by households plummeted for the week of April 10, 2020. The rate paid by households is now the lowest it’s been in years, accompanied by one of […]
