Canadian households are asking banks if they can skip a few payments, and banks are (mostly) saying yes. Canadian Bankers Association (CBA) data shows hundreds of thousands of payments are being deferred. The number, as big as it is, represents select member banks – meaning there’s many more deferrals. Even just using this data, it […]
Canadian mortgage delinquency rates are falling, except in the country’s most expensive markets. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) crunched data from Equifax, and found mortgage delinquencies dropped in Q4 2019. Two notable exceptions to the trend were Toronto and Vancouver – where delinquencies increased to multi-year highs, before the pandemic. Mortgage Delinquencies People think […]
Canadian mortgage credit growth is accelerating into the pandemic – despite the lock down. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows outstanding mortgage credit reached a new high in March. The number also saw one of the highest rates of growth for the segment in years. Despite the optimistic sounding trend, one needs to remember hundreds […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices Could Drop Up To 30%, Moody’s Advises Institutions Deep pocketed investors and institutions were advised Canadian real estate prices will fall. Moody’s, one of the world’s largest risk organizations, published their economic forecast. In the baseline forecast, […]
One of the world’s largest risk advisory firms says Canadian real estate won’t be spared. Moody’s Analytics released their Canadian Q2 forecast, showing how COVID-19 will impact the Canadian economy. The firm advised their institutional clients that real estate will be impacted, with even an optimistic scenario showing price declines. Risk Assumptions and Baselines First, […]
Canadians using their home as an ATM was drying up before the pandemic. Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) filings show the balance of credit secured by homes showing minimal growth in February. The slowdown is almost entirely due to a drop in personal loans in this segment, such as HELOCs. Loans Secured […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories. Canadian Real Estate Employment In Canada’s Largest Cities Is Worse Than It Looks The unemployment rate in Canada’s biggest cities is rising, but doesn’t capture how bad things are. In Toronto the unemployment rate reached 7.8% in March, up 11.42% from last year. This […]
Canada’s largest real estate markets should prepare for a very different economy over the next few years. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows unemployment in Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal made big climbs in March. As bad as the loss is, it’s muted by a rapid decline in the participation rate. This means the loss of […]
Canadians got temporary price relief, but it could be a sign of more serious issues brewing. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) reported one of the largest declines in the history of the consumer price index (CPI) for March. The decline puts the index’ growth to one of the lowest levels in years. While low to no […]
Greater Vancouver is seeing insolvencies climb, not unlike the rest of Canada. Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy (OSB) filings show insolvencies increased in February. While the increase was in the double digits, the city managed a slower increase than the province as a whole. Greater Vancouver Insolvencies Rise Over 10% Greater Vancouver insolvencies are […]
