Canadian real estate prices went from the fastest growing to the fastest falling in just a few rate hikes. The US Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (Dallas Fed) Q2 2022 index of real home prices shows Canada made the biggest drop in the G7. Still, Canada retained gains making it the largest real estate bubble […]
Fitch Ratings data shows Canada’s world-class mortgage debt won’t be as vulnerable to rate shock as countries like Australia and the UK.
The Canadian real estate bubble is kind of like a plane. People on it know it’s going fast but being inside of it means you don’t really appreciate the speed. On the outside though, the bubble looks like it just broke the sound barrier, especially in contrast to its G7 peers. US Federal Reserve data […]
Global real estate prices are reaching a level of overvaluation not seen in three decades. US Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (the Fed) data shows the house price to income ratio pushed significantly higher last year. The ratio, a fundamental valuation indicator, shows that global house prices to incomes have now blown past the peak […]
It’s the credit, stupid. That’s basically the conclusion from a US Federal Reserve Board staff paper. The paper, Volatility in Home Sales and Prices: Supply or Demand?, examined price levers. It paid special attention to the recent home price surge during the pandemic. The ultimate conclusion is stimulated demand was responsible for the surge, not […]
A global real estate correction has kicked off and Canada is expected to lead lower. That was the message from Goldman Sachs (GS) Research’s latest client note on rising rates. Excessively low rates stimulated record home sales and a multi-decade high for inflation. Now that rates are rising to cool that inflation, it’s removing home […]
The global economy may be in for a bumpy ride, warns the central bank for central banks. The Bank of International Settlements (BIS) broke down the environmental variables typical of those preceding a hard landing. Most advanced economies fit this bill and are advised to start tackling inflation immediately. Those in the worst circumstances are […]
Advanced economies replicating the same monetary policy mistakes are facing monster inflation. Now with additional external pressures driving inflation even higher, policy is tightening as the economy deteriorates. That’s the opposite of what usually happens, warns global forecasting firm Oxford Economics. Typically as the economy slows, rate cuts help to craft a soft landing. This […]
What’s driving global real estate higher? It’s the money, stupid. That’s a concise summary of research from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS). Known as the central bank for central banks, the BIS warned risks to global home prices are forming. Their researchers argue the majority of gains made since 2020 are due to monetary […]
Canadians know the real estate market is growing fast but how unusually fast it’s moving may not be clear. Data from US Federal Reserve researchers might help with that. The numbers show Canadian home prices increased at a rate at least 50% faster than any other G7 country in Q4 2021. The issue isn’t just […]
