Considering a new job? Might want to start applying, because the balance might shift back to employers soon. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) quarterly data shows a substantial decline in both vacant job listings and the job vacancy rate in Q4 2022. Despite the quick move, diving into the monthly numbers shows a higher-level may downplay […]
Canada continues to outperform its peers for population growth. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows record population growth in 2022. The increase was driven entirely by immigration, with most of it “temporary” labor. One of the country’s Big Six banks believes the boom is needed to help the country’s long-term labor market issues, but first, […]
Canada’s real estate slowdown is still trickling through the mortgage market. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows mortgage originations continued to fall in January. The volume of new lending has virtually dropped off a cliff, as higher rates throttle leverage. Sky-high home prices that are falling aren’t exactly providing much buyer incentive either. Canadian Mortgage […]
Canadian real estate prices have been spiraling lower, but is a change in trend around the corner? Data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) shows that the price of a typical home increased in February. The national composite’s benchmark price had not moved higher since rate hikes began nearly a year ago. One increase […]
Canada was no exception to the retreat of global bond yields after the US banking crisis hit last week. The Government of Canada (GoC) 5-Year Bond yield plunged at one of the fastest rates in a generation. It wasn’t alone, with most yields falling—potentially signaling lower borrower costs. That is, if the panic-driven drop sticks […]
Canadian real estate is sucking up the oxygen in the room once again, as rising rates pinch households. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows households are spending a record share of their disposable income on mortgage payments. Rising prices and rates are consuming even more income for payments than during the 90s bubble. However, this […]
A Canadian regulator is sounding the alarms on private mortgages, but are they too late? The Financial Services Regulatory Authority of Ontario (FSRA), which oversees mortgage brokers, recently issued a warning on the risks of private mortgages. They have observed a boom in consumers using these high interest loans, often paired with interest only repayment. […]
Canada’s “Big Six” banks are now some of the country’s biggest real estate bears. Quarterly regulatory filings reveal their forecasts used for risk planning, and capital allocation. Despite seeing long-term value, just one Big Six has forecast home prices rising over the next year. Most don’t see a quick recovery either, with some expecting prices […]
Canada’s central bank didn’t break its pause, but signaled it will still drive borrowing costs higher. This morning, the Bank of Canada (BoC) announced the overnight rate will hold at 4.5%, surprising few. They did just announce a pause at the last meeting, so reversing course was unlikely. However, that doesn’t mean borrowing costs won’t […]
Canada’s largest bank believes the end of the real estate correction is within sight. That was the message in RBC’s latest housing brief, though that doesn’t mean price declines are over. The bank believes home prices are halfway to the bottom, and doesn’t anticipate a bounce until next year. However, they expect the market to […]
