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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

Stat Can: Toronto Takes The Top Spot For The Highest Ratio of Poverty In Canada

September 8, 2020

Canada’s largest city has claimed the top spot for the rate of people in poverty, across the country. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data released this morning shows a drop in at least one measure of poverty across the country. As expected, the drop was uneven though, with some of Canada’s major cities seeing a sharp […]

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Canada

Canada’s Big Six Banks Report Over 500,000 Mortgages On Payment Deferral

September 4, 2020

Canadian banks are starting to see mortgage payment deferrals expire, and households resume payments. Canada’s Big Six banks reported Q3 earnings last week, which ended on July 31, 2020. Mortgages on payment deferrals have dropped by nearly a fifth in the latest quarter. While that doesn’t tell us how many people actually needed the deferral, […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada’s Worst Case Scenario Is Here, Except For A 40% Drop In House Prices

September 2, 2020

Canada’s central bank flooded real estate markets with cheap cash when the pandemic hit, and we may know why. Hilliard MacBeth, a prominent Canadian wealth manager, released a research note for clients last week. In his post, he dissects a Bank of Canada (BoC) staff research note from 2019, testing the resilience of the banking […]

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Canada

Canada’s Banking Regulator Begins Phasing Out Special Mortgage Payment Deferrals

August 31, 2020

Canadian banks are going to make it a little more difficult to get a break from your mortgage. Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) announced they will begin phasing out special treatment of payment deferrals. Previously, due to the pandemic, the regulator had allowed banks to avoid classifying payment deferrals as non-performing loans. […]

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Canada

Canada’s Big Six Banks Set Aside Over $6 Billion For Credit Losses

August 31, 2020

Canadian banks are setting aside a lot more cash for bad loans, despite a number of government programs to help households. The “Big Six” reported Q3 financial results, and a common theme was an increase in provisions for credit losses (PCLs) from last year. The amount of cash banks have set aside for bad loans […]

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Canada

Canada’s Drop In GDP Made The Economy Even More Dependent On Real Estate

August 28, 2020

Canada’s real estate industry has seen a smaller impact than the general economy during the pandemic. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows residential investment fell in Q2 2020. The drop was smaller than the one GDP made though, meaning the economic dependency on real estate grew. At least for the next few months. Residential Investment […]

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Canada

RBC: Canadian Immigration Recovery Unlikely Near Term, May Impact Real Estate

August 26, 2020

Canada’s largest bank sees the immigration slump lasting a few years. RBC economists crunched the numbers, and saw a huge decline in the number of new permanent resident arrivals. In addition to the decline in arrivals, they also note a big drop in new applications. Since applications take months to process, the bank is seeing […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada’s Mortgage Buying Is A Quarter The Size of New Mortgage Credit

August 25, 2020

Canada’s central bank is using billions to flood the mortgage market with cheap money. It hasn’t been very effective, considering the scale of the purchase. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows a big mortgage bond buying spree since the beginning of the pandemic. The dollar value of the bond buying was known, but we’re only […]

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Canada

Canada’s Largest Real Estate Markets Are Still Seeing Large Immigration Declines

August 24, 2020

Canada’s largest real estate markets partially attribute fast climbing prices to immigration. However, with a significant decline in permanent residents, prices have yet to slow down. Government of Canada (GoC) data shows new permanent residents admitted to major markets dropped in June. The decline was most notable in Toronto and Montreal, where numbers are down […]

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Canada

Here’s What Canada’s Mortgage Deferral Cliff Looks Like, And Why Experts Are Worried

August 21, 2020

Canadian real estate buyers are jumping in head first, since the recession didn’t impact housing. However, since the beginning of the pandemic, experts said no issues would be apparent until the end of the year. The reason is a term only finance and banking nerds have been using – the deferral cliff. The deferral cliff […]

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