The mystery of how Canada attracts so many big tech companies was revealed in a commercial real estate analysis. The country scored 5 spots on CBRE‘s 2020 list of Top 50 Tech Hubs. High-quality labor is one of the key reasons real estate prices haven’t been a drag. The other is Canadian tech workers make […]
Canada’s Property Bubble Is Now So Large, A Soft Landing Would Take 19 Years
Canadian real estate prices are now beyond frothy, and the government says that’s fine. They believe they can prevent home prices from falling, and let incomes catch up. If you’re in government or banking, you may have already seen me explain how impossible this is. If you haven’t, this is known as the “soft landing” […]
Canada Says Property Bubble “Not Great” For Locals, Good For Foreign Investors
A Canadian official in charge of housing policy confirmed the current market is not an accident. Instead, it’s a conscious decision where the government picked the winners and losers. TVO aired an interview with MP Adam Vaughan yesterday, discussing housing policy. In the interview, Vaughan, who helps oversee the CMHC, said price drops are not […]
Why Don’t Real Estate Developers Build More Purpose Built Rentals? Interest Rates
Academics theorize why developers won’t create more purpose-built rental housing. They cite everything from user behavior to policy restrictions. For some reason, they never think to just ask a real estate developer candidly. A few weeks ago I shared a popular Twitter thread on real estate rental development. Not a lot of people realize real […]
Canadian Bank Regulator Readies To Reverse Extra Pandemic Mortgage Leverage
Canadian real estate markets may have got the first big cooling measure today. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) announced they are moving to tighten uninsured mortgage leverage. The organization that regulates Canada’s banks, eased the mortgage stress test last year. Now that it’s clear mortgages don’t need stimulus, they’re looking to […]
How Quantitative Ease Inflates Real Estate Prices, And Why It Doesn’t Work Forever
Quantitative ease (QE) is a simple concept, but not well understood by most people. Increasingly folks tell me, “QE inflates home prices,” and “prevents prices from dropping.” The first part is true, but the evidence on the second part is a little shaky. It can help to push home prices higher during a tight market, […]
Canadian Real Estate Overvalued, Toronto Needs A 28% Correction For Fair Value: IMF
Canadian real estate prices are one of the biggest threats to the country, said a global agency. The IMF recently completed its regularly scheduled staff report on Canada. Staff found real estate prices present one of the biggest threats to the country. The agency shared the detailed numbers produced by their valuation models with us. […]
Canadian Home Buyers Are Bidding Way Above Ask For No Real Reason
We’ve all heard the Canadian real estate stories, especially in Greater Toronto. An agent lists a property below market value, and dozens of offers pour in. It eventually sells much higher than the asking price, and sometimes even higher than the comps. Just one issue. How much did everyone below the winning offer bid? Did […]
Did The Canadian Property Bubble Start In 2004 Or 2016? Yes
Bears have been calling a real estate bubble in Canada for 20 years, and we’re totally wrong. That’s a comment I keep receiving, about an alleged call I made 20 years ago. First of all, I don’t think I spoke to you 20 years ago about housing. Second, if you took advice from a high […]
Canadian Property Bubble Nears Systemic Failure, And Not Even A Big Crash Can Fix It
Canadian real estate markets have become such a large bubble, even a crash can’t fix prices. That’s what the Globe’s Rob Carrick argued earlier this week. The personal finance expert says it’s now too late for young adults in Toronto and Vancouver. Policy failures made markets so inefficient over the past few years, ownership is […]