Canadian real estate prices just got another negative forecast from a Big Three credit rating agency. Fitch Ratings released its Global Housing Outlook this month, which contained a forecast for Canadian home prices. The firm generally sees home prices falling next year, as well as the delinquency rate nearly doubling. Canadian Real Estate Prices Forecasted […]
Canadians didn’t see their debt problems improve nearly as much as previously thought. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows household debt to income made a big quarterly jump in Q3. The rise was accompanied by a substantial upward revision of the previous quarter. The ratio has now already retraced half of the drop it made […]
Canada’s largest bank is prepared for price drops most would find unthinkable. Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) filings show possible risk scenario forecasts. Over the next year, the base forecast shows virtually flat growth. In a best case scenario, growth would hit levels similar to previous years. In a worst case, they forecast prices can […]
Not every Canadian that took a credit payment deferral needed one. Don’t let that fool you into thinking no one needed a payment deferral though. Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) data shows the number of expired payment deferrals the bank is carrying. The vast majority of people have resumed payments without problem. However, delinquencies are […]
Canadian banks are seeing a higher rate of arrears on mortgages, despite support. Recently released Canadian Banks Association (CBA) data shows the mortgage arrears rate jumped in May. The rise in arrears implies non-payment issues were brewing before the pandemic. It also means the bank’s special treatment of mortgages hasn’t totally eliminated risk. About Canada’s […]
The Great Canadian Mortgage Payment Relief experiment is coming to an end. Regulatory filings for the Big Six show the majority of mortgage payment deferrals expired in Q4. Most transitioned back to regular payments without much of a hitch. Most didn’t actually need a payment deferral though, but the deferrals did allow problematic mortgages hide […]
Another Big Six bank has notified investors they’re prepared for falling home prices in the near future. National Bank of Canada (NBC) notified investors last week the bank has revised its outlook based on data up to Oct 31. While some indicators had surprising improvements from the previous forecast, some have revised lower. In all […]
Toronto may finally start taxing vacant homes. City of Toronto staff recommended a vacant home tax to council this week. The tax would place a penalty on those that use residential property in the City for less than half the year. By doing so, the City hopes to join other major cities like Paris in […]
Canada’s largest bank doubled down on their real estate forecast this week. Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) held its quarterly earnings call, and the bank shared how they are prepared for the next few quarters. On the call, the bank’s chief risk officer (CRO) reiterated their forecast on real estate prices. Some may think we’re […]
Canadian real estate agents must be looking forward to a very jolly Christmas. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows ownership transfer costs, which are primarily sales commissions, reached a record high in Q3 2020. The rate of growth for the segment is now growing 11x faster than GDP. About The Data Today we’re looking at […]
