Canada’s population is shrinking at the fastest pace on record according to Statistics Canada (StatCan). The latest Q1 2026 population estimates reveal the first annual decline ever, driven by a sharp shift in immigration policy. The agency warns the declines will see revisions in the upcoming months as Canada softens its stance on immigration throttling. […]
Canada’s normally calm central bank admitted it has no clue what it should be doing right now. The Bank of Canada (BoC) held its key overnight rate, but made it clear this isn’t the usual sign of confidence in a stable economy. Warning of the threat of dual shocks to energy and global economic growth, […]
Canada’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 1.8% in February, according to Statistics Canada (StatCan) data. Before the rate-cut cheerleading begins, take note: the headline number has been artificially suppressed by base effects and methodological quirks impacting readings over the past year. February marks the end of the first major one, with the biggest impact […]
Canada’s most expensive markets are on a collision course with its formerly affordable markets. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows quarterly rents in Toronto and Vancouver cooled in Q4 2025. The gap between expensive and traditionally affordable markets didn’t, with cities like Halifax now renting where Toronto was just 4 years ago—despite the latter’s economy being […]
Smaller mortgages historically carried larger delinquency risks in Canada. Not anymore. TransUnion data now shows the largest mortgages falling into arrears at more than double the rate of the smallest. The reversal resembles the unwinding of the US housing bubble, when those with supersized mortgages rapidly cracked. Canadian Mortgage Risk Is Usually Concentrated At The […]
Canada is using public spending to mask private sector weakness, and the bill won’t stop at taxes. A new National Bank of Canada (NBC) report warns public investment is growing at over twice the rate of overall GDP. It’s also fueling more borrowing, lifting the benchmark rate that impacts borrowing costs for everything from government […]
Canada’s central bank is “chasing its tail,” warns a new Bank of Canada (BoC) staff paper. The researchers studied the impact of including mortgage interest in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), discovering the circular logic. The BoC sets interest rates based on CPI, but CPI includes mortgage interest costs driven by those very rates. As […]
Canadian real estate affordability is improving at a record pace—after collapsing at one too. National Bank Financial’s (NBF) Housing Affordability Index shows affordability across the country improved for an 8th consecutive quarter in Q4 2025. The bank’s data reveals meaningful progress, but the core problem remains: Home prices are still deeply unaffordable, even after the […]
Canada’s banks are still discovering the extent of the mortgage leverage problems their customers face. Canadian Bankers Association (CBA) data shows the mortgage arrears rate climbed in December, hitting a nearly 5-year high. The rate was driven by an abnormally large monthly jump in mortgages entering arrears. Canadian Mortgage Arrears Rate Approaches 5-Year High CBA […]
Canada’s non-partisan numbers watchdog expects policymakers to hit their immigration goal… sort of. A new report from the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) shows Ottawa will hit its temporary resident reduction target. The analysis also reveals it’s being met by delaying implementation and reclassifying 148,000 temporary residents. The latest update presents a plan that prioritizes the […]
