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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

British Columbia | Vancouver

Even Foreign Real Estate Buyers Are Dumping Vancouver For The Suburbs

March 8, 2021

Greater Vancouver real estate, once a hot commodity for foreign buyers, is losing appeal. BC’s non-resident homebuyers made a sharp decline in January. That might be a one-off, but last year’s numbers still show a modest drop in foreign buyers. There is an interesting shift in buying behavior though. Greater Vancouver is seeing a smaller […]

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Canada

Canada Tried To Stop Real Estate Prices From Falling, And Created A Bigger Bubble

March 5, 2021

Last March, the Canadian government sprung into action when news of a pandemic struck. No, not for PPE as you might guess. An email shows they rejected an offer from a major N95 supplier, stating “masks are not a priority.” If healthcare wasn’t the government’s top priority, what was? Preserving real estate prices, it would […]

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Canada

Canadian Non-Bank Lender Data Shows Insured Mortgages Defaulting At A Higher Rate

March 3, 2021

Canada’s mortgage lenders have seen the arrears rate fall down to pre-pandemic levels. The composition of that rate is now totally different though. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows us the number of mortgages in arrears over 90 days at non-bank lenders for Q3 2020. The rate of arrears is now back to where it […]

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Canada

RBC Leaves A Laundry List of Reasons Canadian Real Estate Is “Far From Risk-Free”

March 3, 2021

Canada’s largest bank sees a lot of risk in real estate, just not where other people may see it. RBC Senior Economist Robert Hogue published a list of risks that may impact real estate markets near-term. The bank feels government aid kept prices moving higher, but the market is “far from risk free.” Here’s some […]

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Canada

Canada’s Over 30% More Dependent On Real Estate Than The US In 2006, Shows GDP

March 2, 2021

Most didn’t think it was possible, but this morning’s numbers show Canada is now more dependent on real estate. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) GDP data shows residential investment made a big climb in Q4 2020. The segment of investment has grown much faster than total GDP over the past few years. Canada is now almost […]

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Canada

Canadian Bond Yields Soar, And It May Be A Drag On The Spring Real Estate Market

February 26, 2021

Canada’s government bond market is seeing yields surge, and it’s going to be felt in real estate. The Government of Canada‘s (GoC) 5-Year benchmark bond yield jumped yesterday. We know, we already covered rising yields just a few days ago. I promise this is kind of a big deal, and I’m not just harping on […]

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Canada

RBC Adds Two “Severe” Risk Scenarios, Including Canadian Real Estate

February 25, 2021

Risk models from Canada’s largest bank shows a wider range of uncertainty for real estate. RBC’s latest models, shared with analysts this week, shows a general forecasted improvement. The downside hasn’t changed much, indicating a little more uncertainty. They also shared they are considering two new and “more severe” scenarios for energy and real estate. […]

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Canada

BOC Governor Says Canada Will Lean On Real Estate Because “We Need The Growth”

February 24, 2021

Canada’s central bank isn’t really that worried about real estate, it appears. Bank of Canada (BoC) governor Tiff Macklem held a Q&A after a speech for the Edmonton and Calgary Chambers of Commerce yesterday. During the Q&A, the governor dismissed concerns about an overheated housing market. In fact, he welcomed its contribution to the economy […]

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Canada

Canada Completed 18 Homes Per Person Added To The Population Last Quarter

February 24, 2021

Canada’s population growth may have slowed, but new home completions are still moving at a breakneck speed. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) data shows developers delivered over 50,000 new homes in Q4 2020. The number of new homes began outpacing population growth in the prior quarter. The ratio went parabolic in the latest numbers […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Rates Most Likely To Climb, Despite Low Overnight Rate

February 22, 2021

Canadian home buyers may be looking at higher mortgage rates sooner than expected. At least if they want to lock in their mortgage interest rate. The 5-year Government of Canada (GoC) benchmark bond yields in February, are almost double last year’s lows. Since 5-year fixed mortgages are influenced by these rates, they are likely to […]

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