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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

Canadian Real Estate Prices Unlikely to See Drastic Price Growth From Here: Desjardins

May 10, 2021

Canadian home prices are going to have a difficult time moving higher from here. Desjardins, the country’s largest cooperative financial group, updated its affordability index for Q1 2021. At the national level, the index plunged to the worst level of affordability in over a decade. Their model indicates a substantial price increase would be difficult […]

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Canada | US

Canadian Home Prices Have Grown Much More Than In The U.S., But Incomes Haven’t

May 7, 2021

Canadian home prices grew much faster than American home prices, but did incomes? In Canada, home prices have grown at a rate more than double that seen in the United States. However, disposable incomes over the same period grew at basically the same rate. Let’s take a dive into how shelter costs evolved in the […]

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Canada

Canadian Households Now Need Up To 32 Years To Save For A Downpayment: NBC

May 5, 2021

Canada’s hottest real estate markets for young adults are far outside of the city. That’s because saving the down payment to be in some cities, would take the majority of their adult lives. National Bank of Canada (NBC) found a sharp deterioration of affordability in Q1 2021. The median household now needs to save up […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Is “Discrediting” Its Own Inflation Research, Puzzling Economists : NBC

May 3, 2021

Canada’s central bank made an unusual move last month — it discredited its own inflation position. National Bank of Canada (NBC) deputy chief economist Matthieu Arseneau is “puzzled” why. In his latest report, he questions why the Bank of Canada (BoC) thinks its preferred measures overstate inflation. The economist took a dive through the data […]

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Canada

Home Prices Are Rising As More Supply Is Built. That’s How It Works

April 30, 2021

Home prices are expensive. Let’s build more homes, and the cost of all of them will become affordable. It’s supply and demand… like your local politician and mysteriously funded community group always say. Except homes are being built and delivered at a record pace, way in excess of population growth. You’re getting a little suspicious. […]

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Canada

Recent Immigrants To Canada Increasingly Prefer Small Towns, and Rural Property

April 29, 2021

Canadian immigration is often the bull case for the Big Three immigration hubs — Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal. A new Statistics Canada (StatCan) study on immigrant labor market outcomes puts a kink in the thesis though. The study focuses on the outcomes of immigrants between the 2001 and 2016 Censuses. Amongst the data, it reveals […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Markets Crammed Up To 15 Years of Price Gains Into One Year

April 29, 2021

Canadian real estate prices have been rising quickly, but it’s never been like this before. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows home prices made a big jump in March. Over the past 12 months, home prices increased more than they did over the previous 4 years. That’s just at the national level. More than […]

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Canada

Canada Is Pumping More Credit Into Its Property Bubbles, Against Global Warnings

April 28, 2021

Canadian real estate is in a melt-up, and the Government of Canada (GoC) was warned not to pour any gas on the fire. Naturally, they’re getting ready to pour gas on the exact fire they were told not to. On May 3, 2021, the GoC will expand the First-Time Home Buyer Incentive (FTHBI) program. The […]

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Canada

Real Estate Makes Canadian GDP Look Like It’s Recovering Much Faster Than Reality

April 26, 2021

The Canadian economy is recovering much faster than expected… just not in a healthy way. Canadian real gross domestic product (GDP) is down less than two points in Q4 2020. Digging into the numbers, we see the headline is better due to households doubling down on real estate mania. When housing is stripped from GDP, […]

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Canada

Canada Is Now Completing 18 Homes For Every Person The Population Grows

April 23, 2021

Canadian homebuilding lagged in the past, but it now far exceeds population growth. CMHC data shows home completions started to outpace population growth last year. By the fourth quarter, there are now 18 homes completed for every person the population grows. Curiously, home prices have been soaring in growth. Canadian Homebuilders Are Still Hammering Out […]

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