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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

Bank of Canada Tapers Quantitative Ease By 25%, Rate Hikes May Come In 2022

April 21, 2021

The Canadian economy’s recovery is well underway, and that means easy money may be on the way out. Bank of Canada (BoC) updated its outlook earlier today. The central bank said the accelerated recovery will allow them to ease stimulus. To start, they’ll taper quantitative ease (QE), and speed up the end of their commitment […]

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Canada

Petition For Bank of Canada To Consider Home Prices and Stop QE Enters Parliament

April 20, 2021

The Government of Canada (GoC) is facing mounting pressure to do more about home prices. BC-based housing activist Raymond Wong launched an e-petition last week. The petition calls for the Bank of Canada (BoC) to consider home prices when setting rate policy. In less than a week, the petition has enough signatures to be certified […]

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Canada

How The Canadian Government’s Supersized Budgets Inflate The Property Bubble

April 19, 2021

Canadian real estate prices are rising at rates even the banks are warning about. There’s a lot of reasons this is happening, but one rarely discussed is the supersized borrowing from the Government of Canada (GoC). A lot of cash was needed during the pandemic, but Canada’s discretionary spending topped the G20. To help facilitate […]

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Canada

Canada Offsets Expensive Real Estate With Low Paid, But High-Quality Tech Labor

April 16, 2021

The mystery of how Canada attracts so many big tech companies was revealed in a commercial real estate analysis. The country scored 5 spots on CBRE‘s 2020 list of Top 50 Tech Hubs. High-quality labor is one of the key reasons real estate prices haven’t been a drag. The other is Canadian tech workers make […]

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Canada

Canada’s Property Bubble Is Now So Large, A Soft Landing Would Take 19 Years

April 14, 2021

Canadian real estate prices are now beyond frothy, and the government says that’s fine. They believe they can prevent home prices from falling, and let incomes catch up. If you’re in government or banking, you may have already seen me explain how impossible this is. If you haven’t, this is known as the “soft landing” […]

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Canada

Canada Says Property Bubble “Not Great” For Locals, Good For Foreign Investors

April 12, 2021

A Canadian official in charge of housing policy confirmed the current market is not an accident. Instead, it’s a conscious decision where the government picked the winners and losers. TVO aired an interview with MP Adam Vaughan yesterday, discussing housing policy. In the interview, Vaughan, who helps oversee the CMHC, said price drops are not […]

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Canada

Why Don’t Real Estate Developers Build More Purpose Built Rentals? Interest Rates

April 10, 2021

Academics theorize why developers won’t create more purpose-built rental housing. They cite everything from user behavior to policy restrictions. For some reason, they never think to just ask a real estate developer candidly. A few weeks ago I shared a popular Twitter thread on real estate rental development. Not a lot of people realize real […]

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Canada

Canadian Bank Regulator Readies To Reverse Extra Pandemic Mortgage Leverage

April 8, 2021

Canadian real estate markets may have got the first big cooling measure today. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) announced they are moving to tighten uninsured mortgage leverage. The organization that regulates Canada’s banks, eased the mortgage stress test last year. Now that it’s clear mortgages don’t need stimulus, they’re looking to […]

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Canada

How Quantitative Ease Inflates Real Estate Prices, And Why It Doesn’t Work Forever

April 5, 2021

Quantitative ease (QE) is a simple concept, but not well understood by most people. Increasingly folks tell me, “QE inflates home prices,” and “prevents prices from dropping.” The first part is true, but the evidence on the second part is a little shaky. It can help to push home prices higher during a tight market, […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Overvalued, Toronto Needs A 28% Correction For Fair Value: IMF

March 31, 2021

Canadian real estate prices are one of the biggest threats to the country, said a global agency. The IMF recently completed its regularly scheduled staff report on Canada. Staff found real estate prices present one of the biggest threats to the country. The agency shared the detailed numbers produced by their valuation models with us. […]

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