Canadian real estate’s high flying prices are increasing the risk of a large correction. BMO Q2 2021 disclosures show the bank made big revisions to its risk forecast. In the best-case scenario, they see exuberance pushing prices more than twice as high as previously thought. In the worst case, they’ve more than doubled the size […]
Canadian real estate prices may be hitting peak growth soon… if a leading indicator continues to hold true. The sales to new listings ratio (SNLR) finally peaked at an absurdly high level, and has since made a sharp drop. The ratio, used as a measure of inventory absorption, has a track record of leading price […]
One of Canada’s frothiest market indicators surfaced — rents are rising with vacancies. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) data from their 2020 rental survey shows a sharp uptick in vacancies. Normally this is expected to bring prices down, but not in a property bubble. Rental prices continue to rise along with increasing vacancies. In […]
Toronto and Vancouver condos are starting to attract foreign buyers again… at least the newer inventory is. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) data show a mixed movement in 2020. Toronto’s total rate of non-resident condo ownership declined, while Vancouver’s increased. Both cities are still seeing non-resident ownership of new supply climb though. Foreign Buyers […]
Phew! Canadian real estate prices are soaring, so it’s a good thing you bought years ago, and are just waiting for it to be built. About that… The cost of building a new home has increased so fast, many developers are struggling with costs. Buyers who thought they secured a home at prices years ago, […]
Canadian real estate prices have been on a tear, with a typical home now making more than the people inside of it. Still, a new model from the Bank of Canada (BoC) thinks that’s not bubbly, and is within their policy. The central bank’s Q1 2021 numbers show only three real estate markets are exuberant. […]
We’re all in this together. Okay, we weren’t in it together — but we’re really sorry about one of the greatest transfers of wealth in history. That was the takeaway from a Bank of Canada (BoC) speech earlier this week, by Governor Tiff Macklem. In a totally not ironic speech on inequality, he suggested quantitative […]
We’ve all heard it. Everyone’s friend has a friend, that’s making a buttload flipping Toronto real estate. Considering the benchmark home price jumped $155,100 over the past year, flippers must be rolling in cash. Diving through April sales data, flippers definitely make up a big chunk of listings. While they’re making decent money, they aren’t […]
Canada’s real estate industry is asking bank regulators to loosen lending standards. OSFI, the bank regulator, is currently holding feedback on B-20 Guideline revisions. The Guideline, better known as the “stress test,” ensures borrowers can pay their mortgage after a modest rate hike. The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) wants some tweaks, arguing it’s […]
Great, you borrowed a downpayment from your parents. Only one problem — your income needs to be much higher to qualify for the mortgage. The majority of households would not qualify for a mortgage on a typical home, according to National Bank of Canada (NBC) data for Q1 2021. That’s for a typical home, if […]
