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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada | Toronto

Canadian Real Estate Flashes Another Bubble Warning — A Flattening Rental Curve

June 22, 2021

It’s not just Canadian home prices showing bubbly signs, but rental prices are following too. The cost of renting an apartment in the suburbs is rising much faster than in the city. Economists call this the flattening of the bid-rent curve, or rental gradient. Basically, the discount for being located further from amenities is disappearing. […]

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Canada

The Canadian Property Bubble Reaches Contagion, Making A Financial Crisis Likely

June 18, 2021

Prices just outside of frothy Canadian real estate markets are growing much faster than in the city. That’s typical of a bubble, and it’s called “housing bubble contagion.” In a paper titled Housing Bubble Contagion From City Centre To Suburbs, three Taiwan-based researchers argue bubbles spread outwards. Bubbles force investors and developers to look for […]

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Canada

Canadian Bank Regulator Tightens Credit, As The Household Debt Risk Emerges Again

June 17, 2021

Despite rainbows and unicorns, Canadian household debt problems didn’t just disappear. In fact, they got worse in many cases, and the economy is finally strong enough to start thinking about them. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI), the country’s bank regulator, announced the domestic stability buffer (DSB) will rise in October.  The […]

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Canada

Work From Home Will Stick, and It’ll Be Great For Employees and The Economy: NBER

June 11, 2021

The pandemic is almost over, but things aren’t going back to the way they were. A new working paper called Why Working From Home Will Stick was recently published by the US-based National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). They found more employers are planning on adopting WFH as a regular part of operations, and it […]

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Canada

Another Canadian Real Estate Developer Is Asking Buyers For More Cash For Lumber

June 10, 2021

Another Canadian real estate developer is asking buyers to cover soaring material costs. Delpark Homes, a Greater Toronto real estate developer, is the latest to ask buyers for a top-up. Recently soaring material costs, such as lumber, have crushed homebuilding margins. Since new homes are often bought years ago, an unexpected rise in costs can […]

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Canada

Canadian Schools Will Start Teaching 14 Year Old Kids How To Apply For Mortgages

June 10, 2021

There is no better time to teach a child how to apply for a mortgage, than during a real estate bubble, amiright? The Government of Ontario released some details on the new Grade 9 curriculum. Education minister Stephen Lecce announced math classes will now include financial literacy to make it more relatable to youth. Of […]

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Canada

New Book Dives Into Canadian Real Estate, Gangs, Laundering, and Corrupt Officials

June 9, 2021

The most important book on Canadian real estate you’ll read this year isn’t about demographics or interest rates. It’s investigative journalist Sam Cooper’s new book, Wilful Blindness: How A Network of Narcos, Tycoons and CCP Agents Infiltrated The West. The controversial best-seller outlines how business tycoons and China set out for a power grab 40 […]

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Canada

RBC Revises Canadian Home Sales and Price Growth Higher On Government Inaction

June 8, 2021

Canada’s largest bank sees much higher home price growth in the near future. RBC shared the update to their national home price forecast for 2021. The bank now expects prices to grow almost twice as much as they previously thought. In their previous forecasts, they had expected significantly more government action. With no new policy […]

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Canada

Canada Funnels The Largest Share of Investment Into Housing In The OECD

June 7, 2021

Canadian housing mania is consuming more and more of the country’s capital. The country is now devoting a record share of gross fixed capital to build homes. It’s really hard to appreciate this number without looking at the rest of the world. The share of investment devoted to homebuilding makes the US  bubble look like […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Dismisses Data Showing Homes Are Overvalued, But Uses It For Rates

June 4, 2021

Inflation is transitory… or it may not be. It depends on whether the data is considered reliable enough that day. Bank of Canada (BoC) released a home price exuberance model, showing the market bubbles. Even more interesting is a footnote for the model they used. They feel inflation data on rent is unreliable, because it […]

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