Canada used to be known for its conservative mortgage lending, but that’s no longer the case. The Bank of Canada (BoC) warned mortgage quality has “deteriorated” in 2020. The central bank found highly indebted households, those with a loan-to-income ratio higher than 450%, now represent a record share of new mortgage debt. Highly indebted households […]
Canadians have been begging for housing costs to have a greater influence on inflation. They’re going to finally get what they’ve been asking for… but it’s going to work against them. The consumer price index (CPI) basket weights got an update from Statistics Canada (Stat Can). One of the biggest changes to the index is […]
Canadian real estate markets are losing some steam after its record year. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows just over half of markets saw price growth slow in June. Looking more closely at recent numbers reveals this trend is about to become more common. All but a few markets are currently on track for […]
The whole world might be in a property bubble, but Canada is the second riskiest. That’s the take from Oxford Economics in their latest housing report this morning. Adam Slater, the firm’s lead economist, broke down fundamentals for global markets. He found double-digit overvaluations are widely seen these days. The firm believes a correction is […]
Global real estate prices are growing at the fastest rate ever, but it’s nothing like in Canada. US Federal Reserve data shows annual home price growth for advanced economies hit a record in the first quarter of 2021. So did Canada. The difference is Canada’s record growth is more than 3x as large as other […]
The Canadian property bubble could have been built by the Swiss, it’s moving so precisely. The sales to new listings ratio (SNLR) is a measure of absorption, and has a track record of leading price growth. A couple of months ago, we said the rapid decline in the ratio would lead to price growth peaking […]
Canadian real estate may have just peaked, according to official data this morning. Earlier this month we took a look at Toronto and Vancouver, and why the top for growth is here. Data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) confirms the same National trend. Home prices hit a new all-time high in June, and […]
New Zealand may be the first advanced economy to hike interest rates. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) abruptly announced a halt to the Large Scale Asset Purchase (LSAP) program. Along with the announcement was the release of the Monetary Policy Committee notes. The Committee said the risk of deflation has now passed, and […]
Canada’s central bank is closer to ending the program that added rocket fuel to home prices. The Bank of Canada (BoC) announced it will taper its quantitative ease (QE) program. QE has been a major contributor to the flood of cheap cash that’s helped push home prices higher. As the program gets close to an […]
The Canadian property bubble is at the point where it’s about to produce brain drain. At least in Ontario. Abacus Data conducted a survey on housing perceptions recently. The survey, commissioned by OREA, produced dozens of insights showing a public frustrated by a property bubble. Buried amongst those insights though was a big standout — […]
