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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

New Book Dives Into Canadian Real Estate, Gangs, Laundering, and Corrupt Officials

June 9, 2021

The most important book on Canadian real estate you’ll read this year isn’t about demographics or interest rates. It’s investigative journalist Sam Cooper’s new book, Wilful Blindness: How A Network of Narcos, Tycoons and CCP Agents Infiltrated The West. The controversial best-seller outlines how business tycoons and China set out for a power grab 40 […]

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Canada

RBC Revises Canadian Home Sales and Price Growth Higher On Government Inaction

June 8, 2021

Canada’s largest bank sees much higher home price growth in the near future. RBC shared the update to their national home price forecast for 2021. The bank now expects prices to grow almost twice as much as they previously thought. In their previous forecasts, they had expected significantly more government action. With no new policy […]

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Canada

Canada Funnels The Largest Share of Investment Into Housing In The OECD

June 7, 2021

Canadian housing mania is consuming more and more of the country’s capital. The country is now devoting a record share of gross fixed capital to build homes. It’s really hard to appreciate this number without looking at the rest of the world. The share of investment devoted to homebuilding makes the US  bubble look like […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Dismisses Data Showing Homes Are Overvalued, But Uses It For Rates

June 4, 2021

Inflation is transitory… or it may not be. It depends on whether the data is considered reliable enough that day. Bank of Canada (BoC) released a home price exuberance model, showing the market bubbles. Even more interesting is a footnote for the model they used. They feel inflation data on rent is unreliable, because it […]

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Canada

The Canadian Property Bubble Is So Frothy, Some Now Consider Parks A “Waste”

June 3, 2021

The Canadian property bubble is at the part where some people now only see the expensive real estate that can be used for housing. One of Canada’s national newspapers recently ran a staff-written piece on why public parks are a waste of space. Instead, they suggest parks should be used for more housing or run […]

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Canada

Low Interest Rates Funnel Money To The Rich, Shows Central Bank Research

June 2, 2021

Low interest rates help to bring working and middle-class prosperity. Inequality will drop if only people could borrow more years of their income today. At least that’s the narrative society was sold on for the past 100 years. It turns out there’s no evidence to show that’s true. In fact, the evidence indicates it was […]

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Canada

Scotiabank Cuts Worst-Case Scenario For Canadian Real Estate, Sees Higher Price Growth

June 1, 2021

One Canadian bank doesn’t see home prices coming down anytime soon. Scotiabank shared their latest risk forecast in their Q2 2021 earnings. As of April 30, 2021, the bank sees a better outlook than they did in January. Home price growth is forecast to accelerate in the base and best case scenarios. As for the […]

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Canada

Canada Is Running Out of Land. It Does That Every Few Years

May 31, 2021

Running out of land is as Canadian as hockey, maple syrup, or laundering money for global crime networks. In fact, Canadians love running out of land so much, they do it every few years. Many are currently justifying high home prices by claiming a lack of land in Canada. This isn’t just something people have […]

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Canada

RBC Still Sees Canadian Real Estate Dropping 30% In The Worst-Case Scenario

May 28, 2021

Canada’s largest bank still sees home prices making a steep drop in a worst-case scenario. RBC regulatory filings for Q2 2021 show the bank’s forecast for risk planning. Currently, they see price growth slowing from current levels, but still advancing. If housing surprises to the upside, they see home prices advancing a little more quickly. […]

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Canada

Canadian Home Price Gains May “Exaggerate” Equity, Manual Approvals Rise: BMO

May 27, 2021

One of Canada’s largest banks totally thinks your home is worth the appraisal. They’re just going to double-check your income though, uh… for a totally unrelated reason. Home equity levels may be exaggerated, said BMO chief risk officer Patrick Cronin. On the bank’s Q2 2021 earnings call, the executive explained the bank is putting a […]

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