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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

Home Prices Are Rising As More Supply Is Built. That’s How It Works

April 30, 2021

Home prices are expensive. Let’s build more homes, and the cost of all of them will become affordable. It’s supply and demand… like your local politician and mysteriously funded community group always say. Except homes are being built and delivered at a record pace, way in excess of population growth. You’re getting a little suspicious. […]

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Canada

Recent Immigrants To Canada Increasingly Prefer Small Towns, and Rural Property

April 29, 2021

Canadian immigration is often the bull case for the Big Three immigration hubs — Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal. A new Statistics Canada (StatCan) study on immigrant labor market outcomes puts a kink in the thesis though. The study focuses on the outcomes of immigrants between the 2001 and 2016 Censuses. Amongst the data, it reveals […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Markets Crammed Up To 15 Years of Price Gains Into One Year

April 29, 2021

Canadian real estate prices have been rising quickly, but it’s never been like this before. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows home prices made a big jump in March. Over the past 12 months, home prices increased more than they did over the previous 4 years. That’s just at the national level. More than […]

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Canada

Canada Is Pumping More Credit Into Its Property Bubbles, Against Global Warnings

April 28, 2021

Canadian real estate is in a melt-up, and the Government of Canada (GoC) was warned not to pour any gas on the fire. Naturally, they’re getting ready to pour gas on the exact fire they were told not to. On May 3, 2021, the GoC will expand the First-Time Home Buyer Incentive (FTHBI) program. The […]

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Canada

Real Estate Makes Canadian GDP Look Like It’s Recovering Much Faster Than Reality

April 26, 2021

The Canadian economy is recovering much faster than expected… just not in a healthy way. Canadian real gross domestic product (GDP) is down less than two points in Q4 2020. Digging into the numbers, we see the headline is better due to households doubling down on real estate mania. When housing is stripped from GDP, […]

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Canada

Canada Is Now Completing 18 Homes For Every Person The Population Grows

April 23, 2021

Canadian homebuilding lagged in the past, but it now far exceeds population growth. CMHC data shows home completions started to outpace population growth last year. By the fourth quarter, there are now 18 homes completed for every person the population grows. Curiously, home prices have been soaring in growth. Canadian Homebuilders Are Still Hammering Out […]

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Canada

A Canadian Government Official Finally Used The Term “Bubble” To Describe Property

April 22, 2021

The Canadian property bubble was recognized by an unlikely entity — the Canadian government. MP Adam Vaughan dropped the b word this week. Vaughan isn’t just an elected official, but also the Secretary to the Minister in charge of most of the country’s housing policy. In a Twitter exchange, he explained how difficult it’s been […]

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Canada

Canadian Banks Begin Circumventing Mortgage Stress Test For High-Income Clients

April 21, 2021

A new mortgage stress test? Don’t bother me with those peasant details. After Canada’s property bubble attracted global criticism, they announced tighter mortgage lending. On April 8, the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) said they would make the stress test harder. By the following Monday, the first bank launched a pilot mortgage […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Tapers Quantitative Ease By 25%, Rate Hikes May Come In 2022

April 21, 2021

The Canadian economy’s recovery is well underway, and that means easy money may be on the way out. Bank of Canada (BoC) updated its outlook earlier today. The central bank said the accelerated recovery will allow them to ease stimulus. To start, they’ll taper quantitative ease (QE), and speed up the end of their commitment […]

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Canada

Petition For Bank of Canada To Consider Home Prices and Stop QE Enters Parliament

April 20, 2021

The Government of Canada (GoC) is facing mounting pressure to do more about home prices. BC-based housing activist Raymond Wong launched an e-petition last week. The petition calls for the Bank of Canada (BoC) to consider home prices when setting rate policy. In less than a week, the petition has enough signatures to be certified […]

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