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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

Why Don’t Real Estate Developers Build More Purpose Built Rentals? Interest Rates

April 10, 2021

Academics theorize why developers won’t create more purpose-built rental housing. They cite everything from user behavior to policy restrictions. For some reason, they never think to just ask a real estate developer candidly. A few weeks ago I shared a popular Twitter thread on real estate rental development. Not a lot of people realize real […]

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Canada

Canadian Bank Regulator Readies To Reverse Extra Pandemic Mortgage Leverage

April 8, 2021

Canadian real estate markets may have got the first big cooling measure today. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) announced they are moving to tighten uninsured mortgage leverage. The organization that regulates Canada’s banks, eased the mortgage stress test last year. Now that it’s clear mortgages don’t need stimulus, they’re looking to […]

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Canada

How Quantitative Ease Inflates Real Estate Prices, And Why It Doesn’t Work Forever

April 5, 2021

Quantitative ease (QE) is a simple concept, but not well understood by most people. Increasingly folks tell me, “QE inflates home prices,” and “prevents prices from dropping.” The first part is true, but the evidence on the second part is a little shaky. It can help to push home prices higher during a tight market, […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Overvalued, Toronto Needs A 28% Correction For Fair Value: IMF

March 31, 2021

Canadian real estate prices are one of the biggest threats to the country, said a global agency. The IMF recently completed its regularly scheduled staff report on Canada. Staff found real estate prices present one of the biggest threats to the country. The agency shared the detailed numbers produced by their valuation models with us. […]

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Canada

Canadian Home Buyers Are Bidding Way Above Ask For No Real Reason

March 30, 2021

We’ve all heard the Canadian real estate stories, especially in Greater Toronto. An agent lists a property below market value, and dozens of offers pour in. It eventually sells much higher than the asking price, and sometimes even higher than the comps. Just one issue. How much did everyone below the winning offer bid? Did […]

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Canada

Did The Canadian Property Bubble Start In 2004 Or 2016? Yes

March 29, 2021

Bears have been calling a real estate bubble in Canada for 20 years, and we’re totally  wrong. That’s a comment I keep receiving, about an alleged call I made 20 years ago. First of all, I don’t think I spoke to you 20 years ago about housing. Second, if you took advice from a high […]

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Canada

Canadian Property Bubble Nears Systemic Failure, And Not Even A Big Crash Can Fix It

March 26, 2021

Canadian real estate markets have become such a large bubble, even a crash can’t fix prices. That’s what the Globe’s Rob Carrick argued earlier this week. The personal finance expert says it’s now too late for young adults in Toronto and Vancouver. Policy failures made markets so inefficient over the past few years, ownership is […]

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Canada

Canada’s Overheated Real Estate Market Threatens To Destabilize The Economy: RBC

March 24, 2021

Canada’s largest bank warned the country’s real estate markets are approaching systemic risk. Not credit risk, banks are more than adequately protected. Instead they see it as a risk for the whole darn economy. RBC senior economist Robert Hogue, who isn’t a traditional bear, warned the market is out of control. Canada’s nurturing of the […]

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Canada

Canadians Spend 65% More Income Servicing Debt Than Americans, Highest In G7

March 24, 2021

Canadian households devote much more of their paychecks than their American counterparts. Actually, this is more of a global thing. Canada’s household debt service ratio (DSR) is manageable, but far from normal. An addiction to cheap credit and expensive housing  has led to an epic borrowing spree. Households in the country now devote more of […]

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New Zealand

New Zealand Curbs Property Investment Tax Advantage, Wants “Productive Investment”

March 23, 2021

One of the world’s largest real estate bubbles is getting a new round of affordability measures. Earlier this year, the New Zealand Government said they would put home prices at the top of their agenda. This week they followed up with the first actions they’ll be taking. Property investors will soon see most tax advantages […]

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