Canadian household debt was seeing growth speed up, even in the beginning of the pandemic. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows the balance of household credit reached a record high in March. Household debt is now growing at the fastest pace in years, which likely isn’t the bullish sign it usually is. Canadian Household Debt […]
Another global risk agency is warning wealthy investors that Canadian real estate prices will drop. DBRS, the ratings division of Morningstar, released its forecast for mortgage and price performance in Canada. The firm warns investors to expect climbing arrears, and double digit real estate price drops across Canada. Forecasting Scenarios Institutional research provides a range […]
Canadian households are asking banks if they can skip a few payments, and banks are (mostly) saying yes. Canadian Bankers Association (CBA) data shows hundreds of thousands of payments are being deferred. The number, as big as it is, represents select member banks – meaning there’s many more deferrals. Even just using this data, it […]
Canadian mortgage delinquency rates are falling, except in the country’s most expensive markets. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) crunched data from Equifax, and found mortgage delinquencies dropped in Q4 2019. Two notable exceptions to the trend were Toronto and Vancouver – where delinquencies increased to multi-year highs, before the pandemic. Mortgage Delinquencies People think […]
Greater Vancouver real estate is feeling pressure from the pandemic, but how much is up for debate. Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) sales are down to multi-decade lows for April. That much is clear. Price indicators are all over the place though, with the slow moving benchmark showing the highest price growth in […]
Greater Toronto real estate is feeling the wrath of pandemic, but it’s not exactly clear how much. Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) data shows sales made a big decline in April. That much is obvious. Prices are where it gets a little more muddy, with the benchmark price making a big climb from the […]
Canadian mortgage credit growth is accelerating into the pandemic – despite the lock down. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows outstanding mortgage credit reached a new high in March. The number also saw one of the highest rates of growth for the segment in years. Despite the optimistic sounding trend, one needs to remember hundreds […]
One of the world’s largest risk advisory firms says Canadian real estate won’t be spared. Moody’s Analytics released their Canadian Q2 forecast, showing how COVID-19 will impact the Canadian economy. The firm advised their institutional clients that real estate will be impacted, with even an optimistic scenario showing price declines. Risk Assumptions and Baselines First, […]
The Canadian economy has been leaning more and more on real estate these days. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows gross domestic product (GDP) was flat in February. Despite the flat growth, real estate advanced and significantly outperformed the general economy. Who Cares About February? We know, February was like, totally forever ago – and […]
Canada’s national statistics agency surveyed businesses to gauge the impact of the pandemic, and it’s not pretty. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) surveyed 12,000 business operators between April 3 and 24, on how COVID-19 impacted them. Some businesses are minimally impacted, much to our surprise. However, the majority have seen significant revenue declines, and have had […]
