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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Toronto

Toronto Commercial Real Estate Break and Enters Jump As COVID-19 Quiets Streets

April 1, 2020

Toronto’s busy streets are suddenly deserted due to the pandemic, and criminals are taking advantage. Anecdotally, officers say they’ve been busier with break and enters this year. A quick dive into Toronto Police Services (TPS) data supports the gut feeling, with Q1 showing a bump in break and enter reports. The rise in crime is […]

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Canada

A Panicked Bank of Canada Just Cut Interest Rates Back To Record Lows

March 27, 2020

Canada’s central bank is flooding the credit market, and hoping nothing sinks. The Bank of Canada (BoC) made an unscheduled rate decision today, dropping the policy rate to just 0.25%. The decision is the third cut just this month, and marks a return to the lowest policy rate Canada has ever seen. Policy Interest Rate […]

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Canada

Canadian Jobless Claims Smash Previous Records, Unemployment Rate Likely In Double Digits

March 25, 2020

Canada’s economy was sputtering before COVID-19, but last week’s job losses are unprecedented. The Federal government now estimates 960,000 jobless claims were made just last week. The number of claims for the week is higher than any monthly tally in Canadian history. The weekly bump is around 5% of the workforce making the unemployment rate […]

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Canada

Canadian Interest Rates Are Falling, But Fear Is Driving Mortgage Rates Higher

March 20, 2020

Are falling interest rates going to push Canadian real estate prices even higher? That’s not exactly what’s happening right now. The Bank of Canada (BoC) has been rapidly lowering the overnight target for interest rates in response to COVID-19 economic slowdowns. Concerns about this overheating the market are starting to bubble up (no pun intended). […]

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Canada

Here’s How Bad Canadian Restaurants Are Doing Into The COVID-19 Pandemic

March 17, 2020

Canadian restaurants were already getting crushed by soaring real estate prices, and now they’re facing pandemic fallout. Data from Open Table shows the big drop off in traffic for restaurants in Canada’s largest cities. Cities like Toronto were already facing weak traffic growth. However, this was capitulated after COVID-19 cases began to rise. Montreal had […]

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Canada

Canadian Bank Regulator Halts Stress Test Changes, and Dividend Hikes

March 16, 2020

Canadian bank regulators are jumping into action to contain economic risk. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) made emergency changes last week in response to COVID-19. These changes include dropping the update to the mortgage stress test, lowering domestic stability buffers, and asking banks to halt share buybacks and dividend hikes. Mortgage […]

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Canada

Canada’s GDP Per Capita Just Dropped For A Second Consecutive Quarter

March 5, 2020

Cracks in the Canadian economy are appearing, and it started last year. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows gross domestic product (GDP) per capita fell in Q4 2019. The decline is the second consecutive quarterly drop, and is now back to where it was two years ago. GDP Per Capita Gross domestic product (GDP) and […]

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Canada

Canada Is Making It Easier For People To Take Out Larger Mortgages

February 20, 2020

Canadian real estate sales are soaring, and prices are accelerating quickly. Obviously, it’s the perfect time for the government to loosen credit conditions. The Department of Finance (DoF) announced changes to the way insured mortgages will be stress tested. The new changes go live on April 6, 2020, and will lead to a more responsive […]

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Canada

Canada Sees Large Rise In Non-Permanent Residents, But Fewer Move To Ontario

February 10, 2020

Canada is in the midst of an immigration boom, but Ontario is losing ground. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows more non-permanent residents arrived in Q3 2019. A lot more, actually. The net increase of non-permanent residents was the highest of any quarter, going back to the 1970s – the last year calculated by the […]

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Canada

Only A Third of Applications For Canada’s First-Time Buyer Incentive Were In Major Cities

February 5, 2020

Buyers in Canada’s largest real estate markets aren’t keen on sharing a home with the government. The First-Time Home Buyer Incentive (FTHBI) received few applications from September 2 to December 9, 2019. The poor reception is of note in urban areas, where first-time buyers need the most help. However, only a third of applicants for […]

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