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Canada

Bank of Canada To Further Taper Toxic Program That Helped Push Home Prices Higher

July 14, 2021

Canada’s central bank is closer to ending the program that added rocket fuel to home prices. The Bank of Canada (BoC) announced it will taper its quantitative ease (QE) program. QE has been a major contributor to the flood of cheap cash that’s helped push home prices higher. As the program gets close to an […]

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Top Stories

This Week’s Top Stories: The Canadian Property Bubble Starts To Deflate, and Funds Are Buying Homes

July 11, 2021

Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories.  Canadian Real Estate The Canadian Property Bubble Can Start Deflating As Early As This Month The Canadian property bubble is starting to show signs of deflating last month. The 3-month annualized rate of growth for prices is falling in Toronto and Vancouver. Since this […]

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Canada

The Bank of Canada Has Been Studying If Telling People A Bubble Exists Makes It Worse

July 9, 2021

Canada’s central bank has had researchers quietly studying bubbles overseas. The study, Bubbles, Crashes and Information Contagion In Large-Group Asset Market Experiments, appeared in the June issue of Experimental Economics. It was the centerfold issue, so obviously, I had to pick it up. In the study, Bank of Canada (BoC) researchers looked at the role […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Will Get More Room To Hike Rates With US Fed Turning Hawkish: RBC

July 8, 2021

Canada’s largest bank now sees the US raising interest rates, and it’s a big positive for Canadian rate hikes. RBC senior economist Josh Nye said the bank sees the US hiking rates by next year. The hike will allow the Bank of Canada (BoC) to raise rates without a significant appreciation of the loonie. This […]

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Canada

Canadians Are MORE Bullish On Real Estate Prices After Record Gains: Bank of Canada

July 7, 2021

Canadian real estate prices just printed record growth across the country. Apparently it wasn’t enough, as households have increased their expectations for future growth. Bank of Canada (BoC) surveyed consumers on where they see home prices over the next 12 months. Conducted in Q2 2021, the survey found the highest forecast rate of growth in […]

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Canada

Canada Is Slowing Down The Money Printer, But Inflation Relief Is A Long Way Off

July 1, 2021

Canada’s money printer is still going brrr at a rate not seen in decades, but it’s starting to slow down. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows the rate of growth for the M2++ is now past its peak as of April. The broad measure of the country’s money supply is a leading indicator for inflation. […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Is Quietly Updating Forecast Models To Include Debt and Real Estate

June 30, 2021

Remember that time the head of Canada’s central bank said the housing bubble was good for the economy? Soak it up, because that may be the last time it ever happens. The Bank of Canada (BoC) finished its technical report on the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model (ToTEM). The model, which is used by the BoC as […]

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Canada

Canadian Household Debt Tops $2.48 Trillion, As Growth Hits Highest Level Since 2017

June 26, 2021

Canadians have no problem borrowing money, they just won’t do it for anything but a house. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows household credit reached a new record high in April. The rate of growth was the fastest seen in nearly half a decade. Canadian housing mania has few people spending on anything but a […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Dismisses Data Showing Homes Are Overvalued, But Uses It For Rates

June 4, 2021

Inflation is transitory… or it may not be. It depends on whether the data is considered reliable enough that day. Bank of Canada (BoC) released a home price exuberance model, showing the market bubbles. Even more interesting is a footnote for the model they used. They feel inflation data on rent is unreliable, because it […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Debt Increased By $115 Billion — About 5% The Size of GDP

May 22, 2021

Record Canadian real estate sales and cheap money has led to a boom in mortgage debt. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows residential mortgage credit hit an all-time high in March. That isn’t surprising, since it hasn’t fallen in Canada for a very long time. The rate at which it’s increasing is simply mind-blowing though. […]

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