Slow Canadian real estate sales are still dragging mortgage credit growth lower. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show outstanding mortgage credit reached a new record high in November. The high was accompanied by slowing growth, which is showing signs that it could slow further. Canadians Have Over $1.539 Trillion In Mortgage Debt The balance of […]
Canadian household borrowing rates may have hit a wall. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show the effective household borrowing rate stalled in December, for 4 consecutive weeks. The rate, which is the typical interest rate paid by households, is still substantially higher than last year. Effective Borrowing Rates The effective borrowing rate is the typical […]
Canada’s central bank has officially started to help out with mortgage liquidity. The Bank of Canada (BoC) announced their intention to buy Canada Mortgage Bonds at the end of November. The Bank bought nearly quarter of a billion of the bonds less than three weeks later. WTF Is A Canada Mortgage Bond? Canada Mortgage Bonds […]
One of Canada’s most important measures is showing choppy waters are ahead. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show the M1+, a measure of the money supply, continued to slow in October. The rate of growth is a leading indicator of economic growth, and is forecasting lean times ahead. The M1+ The M1+ is a narrow […]
Canadian real estate buyers aren’t the only ones being tight with the loans. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show household debt growth has fallen to the lowest level in more than 30 years. The decline in growth is so low, it’s something Canada hasn’t seen outside of a recession. Canadians Owe Over $2.15 Trillion In […]
Canadians are exercising more caution before stepping into the real estate market. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show mortgage credit growth continued to drop in October. The pace of growth has only been this low for two months in the past 30 years, but is still on track to head even lower. Canadians Owe Over […]
Canadian real estate prices are in for some more bad news, if you think credit and prices are related. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show the M2++ was still falling quickly in September. The quick declines follow a long period of growth, indicating the end of the business cycle. The end of the business cycle […]
Relax, everything’s fine. Or maybe it’s not. The Bank of Canada (BoC) quietly made plans to buy government backed mortgage bonds, last week. The move is designed to increase the bank’s assets, and arguably assist the housing market. That sounds great, until you realize how these things work. It’s a similar set-up to the one […]
Canadians still have access to cheap credit, but it’s disappearing fast. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show the cost of borrowing is rapidly increasing as of last week. Over the past two years, a typical household loan has seen servicing costs rise by nearly a third. Effective Borrowing Rates The effective borrowing rate is the […]
Canadian mortgage credit growth is falling, but how bad is it in real terms? People are comparing today’s low growth numbers to the mid-1990s. While there are some parallels, it more accurately resembles the early 1980s. Mortgage credit growth, when adjusted for inflation, is heading towards negative numbers. We haven’t actually experienced negative real growth […]
