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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

The Canadian Government Launches Predatory First-Time Buyer Mortgage Scheme

March 20, 2019

The Government of Canada is using taxpayer money to invest in real estate at near peak valuations. The Department of Finance revealed the 2019 Budget yesterday, including new housing measures. Most notable is the First-Time Home Buyer Incentive, which allows the CMHC, Canada’s national housing agency, to become an investor in your real estate. On […]

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Canada

Toronto and Vancouver Real Estate See Mortgage Delinquencies Start To Climb

March 1, 2019

Toronto and Vancouver real estate is seeing default rates climb from recent lows. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) numbers show the ratio of delinquencies is climbing in both cities as of Q3 2018. The increase is most notable for the largest mortgages, a potential sign that reduced liquidity is making an impact. Mortgage Delinquencies […]

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Canada

Canadian Government Considers Move To Load Households With More Real Estate Debt

February 11, 2019

The Government of Canada is mulling over how to increase household debt. Seriously. The Ministry of Finance is considering extending the maximum amortization for insured mortgages. The move would lower payments relative to 25 year amortizations, in exchange for paying more interest. The move helps in the short-term, but can cost households a lot more. […]

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Toronto

First-Time Toronto Real Estate Buyers To Use “Current Home” To Fund Down Payments

February 8, 2019

Everyone knows the easiest way for a first-time buyer to buy a home, is to already own a home. The Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) published results from its annual buyer survey. The survey asks recent and intending buyers about their experience, and gives the industry insights into their behavior. Most of it was not […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Sales Fell Over 11% In 2018, Biggest Drop Since 2008

January 24, 2019

Canadian real estate sales cooled last year – by a lot. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) numbers show 2018’s sales were the slowest in years. In fact, Canadian home sales made one of the largest declines in a decade. Despite the fact that your Realtor may have shifted to “there’s no national market” mode, there’s […]

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Canada

Urbanation: Toronto Rental Price Growth To Cut In Half As New Supply Hits In 2019

January 14, 2019

Toronto is expecting a lot more real estate supply, and that’s going to be a drag on rental price growth. Urbanation, a leading research firm for developers, is forecasting a big drop in the rate of growth for apartment rental rates in 2019. The firm expects the rise in new apartments to trim growth in […]

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Canada

Canada’s National Housing Agency CEO: Stress Tests Are Better Than Losing Your Home

January 9, 2019

‘Twas the night before Christmas, when all through the house – not a creature was stirring, not even a mouse. Well, except for Evan Siddall… fine, it was the afternoon and he was on Twitter. On Christmas Eve, the CEO of the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) defended mortgage stress testing. The head of […]

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Canada

Canadian Household Debt Is Back Above US Great Recession Numbers

December 31, 2018

Canadian households just demonstrated debt is more complicated than bank economists think. Statistics Canada numbers, adjusted by former Maclean’s business editor Jason Kirby, show Canada’s debt to income ratio made a huge jump in Q3 2018. Canadian debt to income levels are now back above the US pre-Great Recession peak. That level, which is notoriously […]

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Canada

Canada’s Largest Real Estate Developer Declared A Soft Landing. They’re Wrong

December 7, 2018

Break out the champagne for the next open house, because it’s all clear sailing from here. That’s according to the CEO of one of Canada’s largest real estate developers, who declared Canadian real estate achieved a soft landing. The situation is not unlike the US being declared a soft landing in 2006, but just like […]

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Canada

Real Canadian Mortgage Credit Growth Is Pointing To An Early 80s Style Meltdown

November 12, 2018

Canadian mortgage credit growth is falling, but how bad is it in real terms? People are comparing today’s low growth numbers to the mid-1990s. While there are some parallels, it more accurately resembles the early 1980s. Mortgage credit growth, when adjusted for inflation, is heading towards negative numbers. We haven’t actually experienced negative real growth […]

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