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Daniel Wong

Contributing editor, stats guy.

Canada

IMF Warns Easing Canadian Real Estate Rules Like Stress Test Is “Ill Advised”

May 22, 2019

The IMF released its recommendations, after doing a deep dive into Canada’s economy. One key point was to not give into political pressure around real estate. Urging Canada to think long term, they advised against looser regulations or stimulus. The organization didn’t provide numbers, so we pulled a couple of data sets. Long-term, the impact […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Staff Warn Home Equity May Be Concealing Financial Distress

May 17, 2019

Canadian real estate owners may be hiding financial vulnerability using complex debt products. Bank of Canada (BoC) staff published a new analytical note examining new home equity data. The new data gives more insights into home equity borrowing, and how the debt is drawn. Out are traditional HELOCs, held separately from the mortgage. In are […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Prices Stall In April For The First Time Outside of Recession

May 14, 2019

Canadian real estate prices made history last month, but not the record most were hoping for. The Teranet–National Bank House Price Index (TNB HPI) index failed to rise in April. The lack of increase is the first outside of recession, going into the usually busy spring season. Canadian Real Estate Prices Stall The First Time […]

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Canada

Canadian Housing Starts Rip Higher In April, But Fall Short YTD

May 9, 2019

Canadian housing starts ripped higher last month, but that’s only part of the story. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) numbers show a surge in new home construction starts in April. Despite April’s surge in activity, new home starts are significantly behind last year. Canadian Real Estate Starts Spike In April, But Still Lag Canadian […]

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Canada

Canadian Borrowing Rates Are Higher This Year, But Dropping Fast

May 8, 2019

Canadian households are facing higher borrowing rates, but they’re coming down. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show the effective household borrowing rate was higher than last year, as of April 27. Over the past few weeks however, rates have been on a fast slide since peaking in March. Effective Household Borrowing Rate The effective household […]

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Canada

Toronto Condos Are Shrinking In Size Much Faster Than Vancouver

May 7, 2019

Toronto and Vancouver condos are shrinking at an incredibly fast rate. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) crunched the size of condo apartments using assessment data. The data shows the median size of newer developments are fast shrinking – not all that surprising to most. It is surprising to see Toronto condo units shrinking much faster than […]

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Canada

Canada’s Money Supply Growth Is Slowing, and That’s Bad For Economic Activity

May 2, 2019

Near record low interest rates may still be too high for highly indebted Canadian households. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show the growth of the M1+ money supply fell to a multi-year low in March. The decline of this measure is typically indicative of slowing future economic activity. The M1+ The M1+ is a narrow […]

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Canada

Canadian Household Credit Sees Slowest March Growth Since 1983

May 1, 2019

Canadian households hit a new all-time high for debt, but the level of growth is slowing. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show the balance of household debt reached a new high in March. Despite breaking a new record, Canada’s credit growth is at recession low levels of growth. This can present a major kink in […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Debt Prints Slowest Growth For The Month Since 1983

April 29, 2019

Canadian mortgage debt printed a record high, but is still growing much slower than usual. Bank of Canada (BoC) numbers show the balance of mortgage debt printed a record high in March. The record debt came with the slowest pace of growth for March since 1983. Canadian Mortgage Debt Now Over $1.55 Trillion The balance […]

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Canada

Canada’s Largest Banks See Mortgage Numbers Print Another Negative

April 26, 2019

Canadians still aren’t returning to the real estate market, and it’s hitting mortgages. Canadian Bankers Association (CBA) numbers show November had fewer mortgages than the year before. The decline represents the fourth month the market has seen negative prints. Prior to this, the number of mortgages hadn’t dropped on an annual basis in over 29 […]

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