Canada’s epic real estate run is forecast to end as surging mortgage rates pinch demand. Moody’s, one of the big three credit rating agencies, has forecast a decade high for mortgage rates. The firm’s risk models now show home prices stalling if the economy is able to maintain this steam. There’s only a minimal chance […]
One of Canada’s most prominent economists really wants you to stop blaming high home prices on supply. BMO chief economist Douglas Porter explained Canada is promoting an incorrect supply narrative. In a piece literally called, Could We PLEASE Stop With This Supply Myth?, he breaks down a chart in Budget 2022. The Federal Government felt […]
Canadian mortgage rates are expected to surge higher and grind demand to a halt over the next few years. That’s the take Moody’s Analytics shared with credit analysts and institutions last week. The credit rating giant sees soaring bond yields pushing mortgage rates to a decade high. Low rates over the past two years also […]
Canadian real estate investors should pay close attention to a new rule in the budget. The Government of Canada (GoC) 2022 budget proposes to apply a sales tax to assignments for new homes. Hitting assignments with a sales tax will make reseller units much less attractive. If implemented, this can drastically change investor demand for […]
Canada has only seen higher interest rates for a month, and a mini-bailout is already in action. The Government of Canada (GoC) delivered its 2022 Budget with a heavy focus on housing. There is a whack of new policies, but what stood out is the number of demand inducement schemes. Some of Canada’s top economists […]
Canadian real estate is entering one of its most precarious phases in history. Households will navigate it without the help of the national housing agency, though. The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) has halted its Housing Market Assessment (HMA) report. The regular report provided the public with insights on housing market imbalances. The cancellation […]
US real estate is in the first bubble since the Great Recession, and they might actually address it in time. In December, we revealed a little-known model from the Dallas branch of the US Federal Reserve showing US housing in a bubble. Central bank researchers maintain the model as an early warning system, allowing policymakers […]
Canadian real estate prices have increased at such a rapid pace, incomes aren’t even close. US Federal Reserve calculations show home prices in Canada have increased multiples of the rate of income growth as of Q3 2021. Most people have some idea how strange this situation is, but we need to zoom out to appreciate […]
Canada’s central bank is getting serious about controlling high inflation… that they had said was out of their control. The Bank of Canada (BoC) spent the past year claiming high inflation is due to external factors. A day after we explained to Parliament’s finance committee how monetary tools were used to create inflation, the BoC […]
Canada bills itself as an immigration hub, but more immigrants are unhappy after arriving. A new Leger survey conducted on behalf of the Institute for Canadian Citizenship (ICC), shows the cost of living is becoming a big deterrent. That’s the number one challenge new Canadians see weighing on future immigration. It’s become so bad, over […]
