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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

Canada’s Inflation Is Higher Than Its Jobless Rate — It’s Rare & Bad News

May 18, 2022

Canadian inflation surged to a multi-decade high while the jobless rate plunged to a low. In April, the consumer price index (CPI) remained higher than the unemployment rate. According to the National Bank of Canada (NBF), it’s only happened a couple of times before and it was bad news. Canada’s Inflation Is Now Higher Than […]

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Global

Central Banks Responsible For Most Global Real Estate Price Gains, Risks Rising: BIS

May 17, 2022

What’s driving global real estate higher? It’s the money, stupid. That’s a concise summary of research from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS). Known as the central bank for central banks, the BIS warned risks to global home prices are forming. Their researchers argue the majority of gains made since 2020 are due to monetary […]

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Canada

Most Canadian Real Estate Gains Will Be Wiped Out Starting This Year: Oxford Econ

May 14, 2022

Canadian real estate prices have already begun to see growth slow, but this is just the beginning. Oxford Economics is reiterating its forecast as factors line up to return affordability. They see home prices falling by 24%, wiping out most of the gains made since the start of 2020. The declines are expected to begin […]

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Canada

Too In Debt To Fail? Bank of Canada Warns Real Estate May Pause Rate Hikes

May 13, 2022

Canada’s real estate bubble may force the country’s central bank to put inflation on the back burner. Yesterday, Bank of Canada (BoC) Deputy Governor Tony Gravelle addressed Quebec economists. In his speech, titled the Perfect Storm, he explained various interest rate scenarios. The one that stood out most was pausing interest rates due to housing […]

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Canada

Canada’s Real Estate Bubble Is So Big A $91k Price Drop Only Wipes Out 3 Months

May 12, 2022

Just how big is Canada’s real estate bubble? Canadians, especially in the real estate industry, are already warning rate hikes are damaging the economy. While large price drops sound scary, no one had realized how scary large price gains had become. A typical home can drop the equivalent of a median household’s income, and only […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Has A Money Laundering and Fraud Problem: Intelligence Report

May 6, 2022

Intel just confirmed, Canadian real estate is a haven for money laundering and fraud. Criminal Intelligence Service Canada (CISC), a national intelligence agency, quietly produced an anti-money laundering report in 2020. The report focuses on the scope and extent of money laundering in Canada. The agency found real estate was used extensively as a tool […]

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Canada

Canadian Inflation Is The Highest Since The Mid-80s If Mortgages Are Excluded

May 5, 2022

Canadian inflation is the highest in decades, and it’s even higher for those without a mortgage. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows growth of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) hit a 31-year high in March. But when mortgage interest costs are excluded, inflation is even higher — the highest growth in the agency’s data set. […]

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Canada

Canada’s Real Estate Bubble Won’t Be Protected By Population Growth: BMO

May 5, 2022

Canadian real estate prices won’t correct due to population growth, right? Well, BMO Capital Markets shared a different take with institutions this morning. The bank explains there is no historical evidence to support this narrative. During the last significant home price crash, Canada saw its population grow at a faster rate. They warn interest rates […]

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Canada

Canada Has Never Seen Real Mortgage Rates This Low and It’s Fueling The Bubble

May 4, 2022

Canada’s real estate industry is sounding the alarms on higher rates, warning it’ll “punish” buyers. However, these folks are blissfully unaware that mortgage costs are near record lows. In real terms, households have never had access to mortgages this cheap, which is part of the problem. Central banks distorted credit markets to the point mortgages […]

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Australia

Australia Hikes Interest Rates For The First Time Since 2010 As Real Estate Slows

May 3, 2022

Australia’s central bank raised interest rates for the first time in a decade to try and calm inflation. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hiked rates this morning, the first hike since 2010. The cash rate is now 0.35%, an increase of 25 basis points (bps). It’s not particularly high, but just a small increase […]

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