Greater Toronto real estate took one step forward and two steps back last month. TRREB data shows home sales climbed in July, hitting a 4-year high for the month. Firming home sales are an improvement, but it was far from a market recovery. Any progress was overshadowed by a sharp price drop and a new […]
Canada’s big bet on lofty immigration targets was meant to boost GDP. But it flopped—OECD data shows Canada’s growth lagged the 38-country average. The strategy didn’t just fail to deliver; it left Canada trailing its advanced economy peers. Canada Led The OECD for Population Growth, Used Immigration As Stimulus Canada made a big bet on […]
Canada’s economy posted a mild contraction, but the bigger issue is what’s driving the remaining growth. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows real GDP fell 0.1% in May, up just 1.2% from last year. That’s slow—but the biggest issue is how much of that came from imputed housing activity. Imputed rent from owner-occupied homes—a theoretical estimate—accounted […]
Canadians are stuck between a rock and a hard place, most likely CSA G40.21 (steel joke, sorry). To protect domestic producers, policymakers slapped tariffs on steel imports last year—and went nuclear with counter tariffs when the U.S. declared a trade war. The result? Collateral damage for industries like real estate, where higher input costs are […]
Canadian interest in U.S. migration faded after the Great Recession—that’s reversing fast. In 2023, Canadians granted permanent residency hit a multi-year high, according to the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS) latest data. It’s easy to dismiss the data as lagging the narrative of rising hostilities, but that’s unwise. Canadians kicked off 2025 by permanently […]
Canadian capital is heading south—literally. Real estate transaction dollar volumes fell in May, an ominous start to the year’s busiest season for homebuying, according to CREA. At the same time, Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows investors pumped a record amount into US stocks that month. While policymakers double down on real estate investment incentives, […]
The Great Canadian real estate price slowdown has been greatly exaggerated by a modeling skew. CREA data shows the composite benchmark price fell in June, furthering a double-digit correction for national home prices. The substantial correction is almost entirely due to prices falling in two of the country’s most expensive markets. The majority of Canada’s […]
Canada isn’t just seeing citizens flee in record volumes, capital is fleeing too. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows a net outflow of $16.2 billion from securities in May, marking a fourth month of capital flight. Despite the TSX’s stellar recent performance, investors are reducing exposure and sending more capital abroad. Canada Saw $16 Billion […]
Canadian real estate prices have been resilient in recent years, but a fundamental indicator is flashing warning signs. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows the sales-to-new listings ratio (SNLR) fell in June, indicating the weakest demand balance for the month since 1995. The indicator hasn’t eroded from peak to trough this quickly since the […]
Canada’s job market is improving despite warnings against slowing population growth. The unemployment rate fell in June, helped by tens of thousands of new jobs being added. This pushed the employment-to-population ratio to a 3-year high. A significant job deficit remains, but the economy may be on track—if policymakers avoid reverting to chasing short-term, non-productive […]
