The US economy’s booming recovery has created a temporary bump to inflation… that may not be temporary. BMO believes part of the jump in the consumer price index for April was due to a fleeting base effect. However, the bank’s senior economist Robert Kavcic argues there’s a little more to it. More recent growth is […]
Canadian real estate buyers are driving prices using irrational exuberance. US Federal Reserve (The Fed) data shows Canada’s homebuyers were “exuberant” in Q3 2020. This is when buyers disregard fundamentals, and paid more because they felt they couldn’t lose. This isn’t new, but it’s not as old as some have assumed. Canadian homebuyers irrationally drove […]
The world’s largest central bank is seeing the warning signals for Canadian real estate get brighter. US Federal Reserve (US Fed) updated their exuberance indicators for Q2 2020. Their measures for Canada show recent acceleration over the past two quarters. There was a brief period in the data where it appears Canada almost came back […]
Canadians know real estate prices have grown quickly, but most have no idea how it compares to the world. US Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (US Fed) data shows how home prices evolved since the Financial Crisis. While most countries scrambled to balance home prices with local economic growth, Canada doubled down on housing. The […]
Canadian real estate buyers were excitedly disregarding risk before the pandemic hit. The US Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (Dallas Reserve) exuberance index shows expectations surged in Q1 2020. The index is designed to capture explosive price growth, detached from fundamentals. A single quarter isn’t enough to say the market is bound for further detachment, […]
Canadians know real estate prices have grown very quickly, but most likely have no idea how fast. US Federal Reserve data shows when US home prices took a dive during the Great Recession, Canadian prices didn’t. Instead, Canada has flooded the market with a number of policies designed to increase the amount of debt households […]
Canadian real estate buyers are still feeling exuberant about the market. The US Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas‘ (Dallas Fed) exuberance indicator shows expectations are still high in Q3 2019. The index measures explosive price growth, that’s detached from fundamentals. Expectations are much lower than they were in 2017, but are still above critical levels. […]
Canadian real estate prices are dropping, but they’re very far from their peers. US Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (Dallas Fed) data shows real prices across the country are down in 2018 Q4. Even with the decline, prices are massively elevated compared to other G7 economies. About The Index Home prices in this index use […]
Canadians love real estate so much, they’ve sent price growth higher than almost all of its peers. US Federal Reserve numbers show the market had the highest price growth of any G7 country, as of 2018 Q3. Just last year, prices in Canada were the fastest growing annually in the group. This year, they’re the […]
Canadian real estate prices are more tame, but a correction may still be in the cards. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (Dallas Fed), a branch of the US Federal Reserve, released exuberance indicators for Q2 2018. Exuberance is lower than it was last year, but we’re still nowhere near a healthy market. Exuberance Indicators […]
