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Tag: Bank of Canada

Canada

Canadian Employment Deceiving, More People Compete For Fewer Jobs: NBF

October 1, 2025

Canada’s job market is worse than it looks, according to one of Canada’s largest banks. National Bank of Canada (NBF) is warning investors the surprising growth in payroll data has been misread as strength, but zooming out reveals it’s now aligning with the weakness observed in the Labour Force Survey (LFS). When combined with plunging […]

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Canada

Canadian Renters Outperform Homeowners In Most Cities: Even In Toronto

September 30, 2025

Few investments have created wealth as broadly in Canada as real estate, but is it always the best return? A new study from wealth management firm PWL Capital compares homeowner equity to the invested savings of renters. The results were surprising: in most major markets—including Toronto—renters came out ahead. While past returns don’t guarantee future […]

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Top Stories

This Week’s Top Stories: Canadian Real Estate Bubble Resumes, More Canadians Moving Abroad

September 28, 2025

Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadians Moving Abroad Hits A New Record As The Country Fails to Compete Canadians continue to move abroad in record volumes. There were an estimated 120,000 emigrants in the 12 months ending Q2 2025, representing a 3% increase from the previous year. […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Bubble May Resume If BoC Cuts Too Fast: BMO

September 22, 2025

Canada’s real estate addiction may limit the central bank’s ability to respond to loosening conditions. The Bank of Canada (BoC) cut its overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% at its September meeting, as expected. Markets are pricing in more cuts, but BMO economists caution that moving too fast risks undoing recent housing market […]

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Top Stories

This Week’s Top Stories: Canadian Real Estate’s Excess Supply, and A Government Borrowing Spree

September 21, 2025

Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Went From A Shortage To Surplus, Starts Plunge Canada’s new home starts fell to a SAAR of 245,800 units in August, down 16% from July. But this isn’t a problem of red tape—approved permits hit a record ~350,000 units, […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Went From A Shortage To Surplus, Starts Plunge

September 18, 2025

Canada’s housing narrative flipped from shortage to surplus faster than you can say “speculative bubble.” Desjardins economist Kari Norman notes that new housing starts fell sharply last month, while new homebuilding permits hit a record—demonstrating red tape isn’t the problem. Meanwhile, the number of newly completed but unsold homes is the highest in a generation. […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Cuts on Trade Fears. Here’s What Historically Follows

September 17, 2025

The Bank of Canada (BoC) is betting on cheaper credit reviving a slowing economy further hit by trade shock. It cut the overnight rate at today’s meeting, a move widely expected as exports fall, investment retreats, and the labour market softens. The central bank hopes easing will support demand and jumpstart investment—but does history support […]

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Canada

Canadian Governments Borrow Most Since Pandemic, Record Bank Demand

September 16, 2025

Canadian governments are borrowing like a pandemic just broke out—and banks are snapping up the debt at historic levels. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows net issuance of government securities surged in Q2 2025, marking the biggest quarter since pandemic supports peaked. More concerning: domestic banks are absorbing the demand, a pattern rarely seen outside of […]

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Canada

Canadian Inflation Accelerates, Lofty Core Makes BoC Cuts Difficult

September 16, 2025

The Canadian economy is cooling but inflation accelerated as the base effect from gasoline faded. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows CPI accelerated in August, with core measures still running hot and shelter costs returning to breakneck growth. That puts the Bank of Canada (BoC) in a tricky situation at the upcoming rate announcement, as it […]

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Top Stories

This Week’s Top Stories: Canadian Mortgage Arrears Surge, and Toronto Unemployment Hits 392k

September 14, 2025

Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Big Six Mortgage Arrears Surge Above National Average Mortgage arrears at Canada’s Big Six banks are rising faster than the national average, with five of the six now exceeding it. These lenders typically post much lower delinquency rates, making the sudden […]

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