Canadian real estate doesn’t just feel out of reach—there’s quantitative evidence. A new Statistics Canada (Stat Can) study shows that real wages have only seen modest growth from 1981 to 2024. When compared to the surge in real home prices, it becomes clear this generation isn’t just exaggerating—home prices have grown nearly 7x faster than wages.
Canadian Real Full-Time Wages Grew 24% From 1981 to 2024
Canadian wage growth has been modest—to say the least. The median real hourly wage for full-time jobs (30+ hours/week) grew 24% between 1981 and 2024—an average annual growth rate of 0.53%. That’s not exactly a boom.
The picture is even bleaker for part-time workers. The median real wage for those working less than 30 hours per week only advanced 6% over the same 43-year period. Those workers are likely receiving far less value for their labour than previous generations.
Canadian Residential Real Estate Prices Grew Nearly 7x Faster Than Household Wages
Canadian real median wages for full-time workers vs. real home prices from 1981 to 2024. Indexed values.
Source: Statistics Canada; US Federal Reserve; Better Dwelling.
The absurdity of Canadian real estate prices is really highlighted against the wage data. Inflation-adjusted (real) home prices in Canada surged 163.5% between 1981 and 2024. Even accounting for recent declines, home prices rose nearly seven times faster than full-time wages.
The real wage to earnings gap creates a structural divide between generations. Older homeowners have seen their property values soar faster than their wages. Home equity now represents a dominant share of their wealth, making them more likely to support policies that bolster prices.
Meanwhile, younger Canadians and recent immigrants are increasingly priced out. Their wages haven’t just failed to keep up—they’ve fallen further behind as housing continues to run away from their grasp.
This dynamic creates an inevitable liquidity trap: if younger generations can’t afford to buy, how will older households unlock their gains? Tapping equity works for a while—but eventually, the asset needs to be sold.
Did the gov even use CPI to calculate inflation back in 1981 or did they use money supply growth and then change methodology but not disclose how much it changed?
Interesting point because they wouldn’t have had accurate basket data back then, so the retroactive correction would be inference based. If they used the same methodology, 2020 would have been bigger than 1981 me thinks.
No, I’ve been assured I ate $1 million in avocado toast and Boomers earning $50k/year should be locked in at their property tax rate while I have to earn $200k/year just to buy a starter home.
I’m confused..is that median wages to median house prices, or median wages to average house prices…or what? I want to blame the emergence of the CMB program c. 2020, but data is meaningless unless we know exactly what we’re looking at…median can be much higher/lower than average…not that I disagree with the point..wages have not kept up with prices, just question whether the magnitude is accurate (it could actually be worse than this!!).