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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

Big Five Banks Back Most of Toronto’s Negative Cash Flow Condo Investors 

July 30, 2024

Canada’s banks have dominated Greater Toronto’s investor mortgage market. CIBC data shows the Big Five captured 75% of investor mortgages on condos completed in Toronto in 2023. There’s just one problem-most of those mortgages are cash flow negative—the rent fails to match the payment, property taxes, and maintenance fees on the unit. The Big Five […]

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Canada

Canadian Families Captured Bigger Share of New Housing As Rates Climbed

July 29, 2024

Finally, some good Canadian real estate news—though it’s unlikely to be a lasting trend. New data from the Canadian Housing Statistics Program (CHSP) at Statistics Canada (Stat Can) shows more new condo apartments were owned by end-users in 2022. As interest rates climbed, prices stalled and investors no longer saw the same return potential. Owner-occupants […]

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Canada | Toronto

Over 4 In 5 Greater Toronto Leveraged Condo Investors Are Losing Money

July 26, 2024

The Greater Toronto condo market has been dominated by investors for years. That’s changing really fast, according to a new analysis from CIBC Economics. Over 4 in 5 investors with a condo apartment rental completed in 2024 are losing money, collecting less rent than they’re paying out. It’s a problem that’s long existed, but may […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Faces The Worst Market Since 90s Recession: CIBC

July 25, 2024

Canadian real estate is facing some of the worst market conditions in decades. That was the take in CIBC’s latest research paper, which warns investment has disappeared from the market. The problem is amplified in the Greater Toronto condo market, where investors represent over two-thirds of buyers. Complicating the issue further is a weak condo […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Sees “Robust” Real Estate Investment After Rate Cuts

July 24, 2024

Canada’s central bank sees real estate becoming an even stronger part of the economy. Bank of Canada (BoC) announced a cut to its key interest rate this morning, as widely expected by markets. The central bank justified the decision by noting the progress made on inflation, as well as excess supplies and labor market slack. […]

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Canada

Canada’s CMHC Internal Messages Show Housing Supply Narrative Is BS

July 19, 2024

Everyone in Canada will soon be able to afford a home. We just need investors to build more and rates to be cut, right? Anyone that can do basic math has probably been skeptical of that narrative and with good reason—even the people making those statements don’t believe it. Internal messages from the CMHC make […]

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Canada

Canadian Job Vacancies For Immigrants Concerning, Fewest In 7 Years: NBF

July 15, 2024

Canada chased rapid population growth to fill its soaring job vacancies. Now it’s running out of jobs, and still has near-record population growth. National Bank of Canada (NBF) believes this is a concerning setup for new immigrants who are arriving to the tightest job market in 7 years. Not only is this driving unemployment for […]

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Canada

Canada Added 250k Unemployed People, Most In 5 Real Estate Markets

July 10, 2024

Canada’s job market hasn’t kept up with its population growth, and that’s bad news for major real estate markets. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows unemployment continued to rise in June. A deep dive shows the weakness is concentrating in some of the country’s most important real estate markets. Just five cities represent most of […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Borrowers To Reduce Consumption Even After Rate Cuts: BoC

July 8, 2024

Canada’s sharp and unexpected rate hikes will continue to produce damage, even after rate cuts. A new staff research note from the Bank of Canada (BoC) shows the overnight rate is much higher than initially anticipated, reducing consumption for mortgage borrowers since the climb began in 2022. Rates are now being slashed and providing relief, […]

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Canada

Canadian Households Now The Third Most Indebted In The World

July 3, 2024

Canadian households are more indebted than they think. A new report from Quebec-based Desjardins’ shows households recently accumulated a world class amount of debt. In fact, households borrowed so much that they’re now the third most indebted across the world. Even more surprising is the fact this debt is mostly held by just a small […]

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