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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

Canada To Roll Out New Steel Tariffs, Home Building Costs To Rise

August 26, 2024

Canadian home building costs surged as rates were cut, and stimulus fueled record demand. Policymakers assured households that it was just supply shortages and the inflation was transitory. Supply chains will scale up and prices will come down, eventually. That day is finally here for steel. It turns out that was never the goal.  Earlier […]

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Canada

Canadian Inflation Further Tapers, 3 More Rate Cuts Expected In 2024

August 20, 2024

Canadian inflation is under control, as expected with the country’s unique modeling strategy. The Statistics Canada (Stat Can) Consumer Price Index (CPI) shows annual growth slowed in July. The quick slowdown was due in part to a circular reporting model, where central bank rate decisions have significant influence on the report itself. Slowing headline inflation […]

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Canada

Toronto Mortgage Delinquency Rate Doubles, Hits 8 Year High

August 14, 2024

Canadian mortgage borrowers are finding out fast that Toronto real estate isn’t always a path to riches. Equifax data shows Toronto mortgage delinquencies climbed in Q1 2024, and now sit at the highest rate in 8 years. Except back then the rate was falling as the market improved, and it’s heading in the wrong direction […]

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Canada

Canada’s Bank Regulator Delays Standard Risk For Capital Minimums

August 8, 2024

One country’s discreet bailout is another country’s financial crisis, and that’s why Basel III was rolled out. The series of banking supervision measures are designed to improve banking resilience, with the latest measure designed to set minimum capital using a standard approach to risk. Canada was set to begin adopting the rules this year, but […]

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Canada

Canadian Youth Unemployment Close To Financial Crisis-Style Surge: NBF

August 7, 2024

Priced out of housing and now facing an eroding labor market, Canada’s young adults can’t catch a break. A new report from National Bank of Canada (NBF) warns that unemployment is on the rise across the country, but it’s surging for  young adults (15 to 24 years old). The demographic is seeing unemployment rise much […]

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Canada

Big Five Banks Back Most of Toronto’s Negative Cash Flow Condo Investors 

July 30, 2024

Canada’s banks have dominated Greater Toronto’s investor mortgage market. CIBC data shows the Big Five captured 75% of investor mortgages on condos completed in Toronto in 2023. There’s just one problem-most of those mortgages are cash flow negative—the rent fails to match the payment, property taxes, and maintenance fees on the unit. The Big Five […]

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Canada

Canadian Families Captured Bigger Share of New Housing As Rates Climbed

July 29, 2024

Finally, some good Canadian real estate news—though it’s unlikely to be a lasting trend. New data from the Canadian Housing Statistics Program (CHSP) at Statistics Canada (Stat Can) shows more new condo apartments were owned by end-users in 2022. As interest rates climbed, prices stalled and investors no longer saw the same return potential. Owner-occupants […]

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Canada | Toronto

Over 4 In 5 Greater Toronto Leveraged Condo Investors Are Losing Money

July 26, 2024

The Greater Toronto condo market has been dominated by investors for years. That’s changing really fast, according to a new analysis from CIBC Economics. Over 4 in 5 investors with a condo apartment rental completed in 2024 are losing money, collecting less rent than they’re paying out. It’s a problem that’s long existed, but may […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Faces The Worst Market Since 90s Recession: CIBC

July 25, 2024

Canadian real estate is facing some of the worst market conditions in decades. That was the take in CIBC’s latest research paper, which warns investment has disappeared from the market. The problem is amplified in the Greater Toronto condo market, where investors represent over two-thirds of buyers. Complicating the issue further is a weak condo […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Sees “Robust” Real Estate Investment After Rate Cuts

July 24, 2024

Canada’s central bank sees real estate becoming an even stronger part of the economy. Bank of Canada (BoC) announced a cut to its key interest rate this morning, as widely expected by markets. The central bank justified the decision by noting the progress made on inflation, as well as excess supplies and labor market slack. […]

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