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Daniel Wong

Contributing editor, stats guy.

Canada

Canadian Mortgage Debt Rapidly Cools After Nearly Reaching The Size of GDP

December 20, 2021

Canadian mortgage debt is getting so large that it now rivals the economy’s output. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows mortgage credit reached a new record high in October. Households have a strong appetite for housing debt, still printing high growth. That might change soon, though. The latest data indicates much less mortgage debt has […]

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Canada

Canada Just Saw The Second Largest Quarter For Population Growth Ever

December 18, 2021

Canada’s population growth came to a halt during the start of the pandemic, but it’s back with a fury. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows population growth had the second biggest quarter ever in Q4 2021. Estimates are now back to pre-pandemic levels, as backlogs begin to clear. Most of this growth was concentrated in […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Doesn’t Have A Supply Problem. It’s A Demand Issue: BMO

December 16, 2021

Canadian real estate demand has never been this elevated before. That demand is the primary issue driving home prices higher, according to BMO senior economist Robert Kavcic. Rejecting the supply shortage narrative, he argues inventory levels are robust. Excessively low interest rates are just incentivizing too much demand. It will eventually end, as soon as […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Prices Forecast To Rise While Incomes Fall: Fitch Ratings

December 16, 2021

In Canada, it only goes up. Well, when it comes to real estate prices, anyway. Fitch Ratings‘ sent its latest global real estate forecast to clients this week. The credit rating giant sees Canadian home price growth slowing but still firm. At the same time, this isn’t driven by lower rates or higher incomes. They […]

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US

US Federal Reserve Doubles The Pace of Tapering, RBC Forecasts Earlier Rate Hikes

December 16, 2021

American credit will experience drag as inflation forces a monetary response. The US Federal Reserve announced it will double the rate it tapers its bond-buying next month. RBC economist Josh Nye has forecast the program will now end as early as March at this pace. This would be months ahead of schedule, with RBC seeing […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Sales Elevated By Mortgage Rates Expiring: National Bank

December 15, 2021

Canadian real estate buyers are rushing to buy anything they can, from Victoria to St. John’s. National Bank of Canada (National Bank) attributes this to FOMO on low interest rates. The Big Six bank said home buyers are trying to purchase before the Bank of Canada (BoC) raises rates. Especially buyers that have mortgage pre-approvals […]

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Canada

The BoC Is Waiting For Full Employment To Raise Rates. Banks Say Canada Is Past That

December 14, 2021

Canada’s central bank renewed its mandate, but with one fundamental change. The Bank of Canada (BoC) will now consider employment in addition to its goal of maintaining a 2% rate of inflation. The Governor stressed, it’s difficult to figure out when full employment is present. Two of Canada’s “Big Six” banks say full employment has […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Prices Don’t Always Rise Everywhere Forever: BMO

December 13, 2021

Canada’s oldest bank has a warning for homebuyers — prices don’t always rise. The uncharacteristic message came from BMO‘s chief economist Douglas Porter. Canada has seen few home price corrections, causing homebuyers to think of it as “risk-free.” Not just in Toronto or Vancouver, but virtually every market in the country, all simultaneously. BMO wants […]

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Canada

National Bank of Canada Calls 2022 “The Year of The Hike,” Sees Rates 6x Higher

December 11, 2021

One of Canada’s “Big Six” banks is declaring next year to be “The Year of The Hike.” National Bank of Canada (NBC) chief strategist (and poet-in-residence) Warren Lovely is calling the first interest rate hike in just a few months. He sees the Bank of Canada (BoC) making its hike in March, way ahead of […]

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Canada

Canadians Opened 49% More New Mortgage Accounts Than Usual: TransUnion

December 9, 2021

Canadian households are on an epic mortgage borrowing spree. Data from TransUnion shows explosive growth for new mortgage originations in Q2 2021. Sparked by low rates, the surge reveals that excess demand has played a significant role in exhausting supply. Canadian New Mortgages Jumped 49% Canadian mortgage originations made a sharp increase from historical levels. […]

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