Just when you think Canadian real estate can’t get any more exuberant, the central bank straps a rocket to it. That was the take from BMO, whose Friday research note is a quick look at Toronto real estate prices. The city, much like the rest of Canada, is seeing some of the highest home price […]
Canada’s central bank used lumber prices to dismiss inflation, but it’s doing the opposite. In October, the Bank of Canada (BoC) used lumber to back its transitory inflation narrative. Short-term supply chain issues are the problem, not monetary policy, they explained. Excess demand fueled by easy money has since been acknowledged as the culprit by […]
Canadian real estate has outgrown productive investment, and it’s not slowing down. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows building permits, considered a leading indicator for future building intentions, climbed in November. The growth is entirely attributed to home building, now running 50% above pre-2020. More housing is nice, but Canada is already sinking more investment […]
Canadian bond yields are soaring, but the central bank isn’t expected to raise rates. At least not yet, according to an analysis from BMO Capital Markets. Government of Canada (GoC) bond yields showed a multi-year high for annual growth in 2021. This means rising market expectations of the overnight rate climbing in the near-term. Despite […]
Over the past year, we’ve heard that younger households were behind the real estate binge. In addition to transfer data showing that’s not true, Equifax mortgage data for Q3 2021 agrees. Most demographics showed little change in their borrowing patterns, except for the extremes. Millennial-led households maintained their share of mortgages, but a larger share […]
Canadian household debt problems are once again worsening, after taking a brief break. The ratio of household credit market debt to disposable income climbed in Q3 2021, according to Statistics Canada (Stat Can). Households are now borrowing debt at one of the fastest rates in half a decade. Unfortunately, their incomes aren’t rising in line […]
Canadian real estate’s economic contribution was slowing, but it’s back with a vengeance. Gross domestic product (GDP) made a big jump in October, with real estate doing a lot of the heavy lifting. A component, real estate and rental and leasing (RERL) provided over a tenth of the monthly GDP increase. RERL showed the biggest […]
Canadians are tapping their home equity with payments that rival rent costs just a few years ago. TransUnion credit data shows monthly home equity line of credit (HELOC) payments have surged in Q3 2021. Making the increase more impressive is this occurred with falling interest costs. Canadians are betting high home prices are here to […]
Canada’s central bank warned real estate buyers to prepare for higher interest rates. It appears buyers are calling their bluff, opting for little rate protection on loans. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows the share of new mortgages with variable rates doubled in October. Interest costs on most new uninsured mortgages will rise with rates, […]
Canadians tapped a lot more equity than their home equity line of credit (HELOC) balances show. Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) filings show loans secured by homes jumped in October. HELOC debt is the most common type of loan secured by homes, but represents just a small share of the debt. Homeowners […]
