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Daniel Wong

Contributing editor, stats guy.

Canada

Lumber Executive Sees Prices Falling, Suggests Waiting May Be A Smart Idea

June 9, 2021

Even lumber executives are now telling people they should wait for costs to fall. Kyle Little, CEO of Sherwood Lumber, told CNBC he expects lumber prices to drop over the next year. The executive even encouraged people to wait before building those discretionary projects.  Wait For Lumber Prices To Fall… If You Can Discretionary building […]

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Canada

Canada Expects Pent-Up Savings To Boost Home Sales, But They’re Greatly Exaggerated

June 8, 2021

Canadian households have been saving at one of the highest rates ever recorded. They saved an extra $167 billion last year, and everyone thinks it’s going to be spent in their industry. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows this might sound a lot larger than it actually is when broken down. It’s definitely going to […]

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Canada

Timberrr! Lumber Prices Are Crashing At 30% Below Peak, And Forecast To Fall Further

June 7, 2021

The recent surge in lumber prices helped to push home prices higher, but now they’re crashing. Lumber prices closed today nearly 30% below the all-time high reached in May. The recent surge in prices pushed builder costs up by tens of thousands of dollars. This sent new home prices much higher, leading to an interesting […]

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Canada

Ka-Ching! Canadian Real Estate Commissions and Fees Now Almost 1% of GDP

June 5, 2021

Canada is really depending on real estate to spackle shut the holes in the economy. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows real estate commissions and fees hit a new high in March. The segment of gross domestic product (GDP) is growing so fast, it’s now a whole point of the country’s output. It also represents […]

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Canada

Buying A Home In Canada’s Most Expensive Cities Has Up To A 68% Premium

June 4, 2021

Canadian homebuyers are paying large premiums to live in some cities. National Bank of Canada (NBC) data shows most cities are cheaper than the national home price in Q1 2021. Two big exceptions are Toronto and Vancouver, which fetch massive premiums. Let’s take a look at how much more people need to pay in contrast […]

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Canada

The Canadian Property Bubble Pushed Renovation Spending To Over 3% of GDP: BMO

June 2, 2021

Canada’s housing boom isn’t just home sales — it’s consuming the whole economy. BMO senior economist Robert Kavcic crunched home renovation numbers for Q1 2021. The bank found household spending on renovations hit a new high last quarter. Spending in this segment is growing so fast, it now represents a record share of the economy. […]

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Canada

Canada Now Dedicates More Investment Capital To Housing Than Business: BMO

June 1, 2021

Who needs businesses when your homes are making so much money? BMO chief economist Douglas Porter crunched residential investment data for Q1 2021. The bank found residential investment now represents a record share of Canada’s GDP. It’s now such a large share of GDP, more investment capital is going into housing than businesses. Canadian Housing […]

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Canada

Canada Is Now 50% More Dependent On Housing Than The US At Peak Bubble

June 1, 2021

Canadian housing investment is swallowing the whole darn economy. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows residential investment is at a record high in Q1 2021. The recent housing boom has allowed the segment to grow much faster than gross domestic product (GDP). Consequently, it now represents a much larger portion of the Canadian economy. The […]

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Canada

Canadian Home Prices Make The 2006 US Real Estate Bubble Look Like A Deal

June 1, 2021

Canadian real estate is receiving a big warning sign from an indicator that was an alarm for the US in 2006. The house price-to-rent ratio shows Canadian real estate is overvalued. When contrasted to the US is when you really get a feel for how much Canada went all-in on real estate. It makes 2006 […]

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Canada

The Canadian Property Bubble Reached The Point Where Few People Can Actually Buy

May 29, 2021

Canada’s property bubble is reaching the point where few people in the country can buy. Home price growth is still surging across the country, but sales are falling. The odd combination made us curious how many households can still afford to buy.  To the surprise of no Millennials, very few people can afford to buy […]

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