Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Mortgage Rates Set To Surge With Global Bond Yield Repricing Canada’s real estate industry is watching the overnight rate, but it should be paying attention to bond yields. Mortgage rates are priced off credit benchmarks of similar maturities, and the Bank […]
The Canadian real estate industry may focus on rate decisions, but the mortgage industry is watching bond markets. The Government of Canada’s (GoC) 5-year bond yield—a key benchmark for fixed-rate mortgages—has surged in recent weeks, pushing borrowing costs higher instead of providing relief. The move reflects rapid market repricing, driven by stronger economic data and […]
Global household debt is falling, but Canada is bucking the trend—and it’s not good news. The Institute of International Finance’s (IIF) latest update shows global household debt-to-GDP fell in Q3 2025, continuing a general trend since the financial crisis. BMO Capital Markets warns Canada is one of the few exceptions, with its households now the […]
Canada’s largest banks are still navigating increased borrower stress. Canadian Bankers Association (CBA) data shows mortgage arrears have reached a 5 year high in September. Arrears have been climbing aggressively, and are amplified by falling total mortgages. With banks holding ~150,000 fewer mortgages since peak—each delinquent mortgage holds more weight. Canadian Mortgage Arrears Rate Still […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices Fall To 4-Year Low As Inventory Sets Record Canadian real estate prices continue to cool after the pandemic-era boom. A typical home fell to $679,900 in October, a 20.2% (-$171,700) drop from the March 2022 peak. The drop […]
Canadian retail sales are weaker but not as weak as anticipated. Statistics Canada (StatCan) retail sales fell in September, with the drop attributed to a single (but large) category. While retail sales are holding up stronger than the headline data suggests, the longer-term issue of stagnation remains. Canadian Retail Sales Flat Excluding Gas and Vehicles […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Investor Mortgage Crackdown Set For 2026, Delayed 3 Years Canada’s financial watchdog is finally moving its banks up to global risk standards after three years of delays. OSFI has told lenders to prepare to adopt the Basel III minimum output floor […]
Canadian consumer insolvencies are surging to levels not seen since the financial crisis, despite stronger employment. The Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy (OSB) just reported the highest September filings since 2009, countering any recent signs of improvement. If anything, the trend appears to be just getting started. Canadian Insolvencies Surge To Highest Level Since […]
Canada’s latest budget could cost households more than just higher taxes. Fitch Ratings warns Canada’s sovereign credit rating is at risk of a downgrade, citing persistently large deficits and no credible path back to fiscal normalcy. A downgrade would act as a red flag for investors—eroding confidence and raising borrowing costs across the economy, from […]
Canadians will soon answer an age-old question—if home values are inflated to facilitate mortgage leverage, will regulators actually do anything? Canadian lenders are increasingly using blanket appraisals, treating pre-construction contract prices as market value to maximize leverage and close new home purchases. The move shifts risk from developers to buyers—especially those who bought at peak, […]
