Canadian bond yields are on the rise, and a big bank has forecast it will take mortgages along for the ride as well. The latest research note from BMO focuses on climbing longer term bond yields. The bank sees this as just the beginning, and sees modest growth for the next two years. They also […]
Canadians are seeing higher inflation and one of the country’s biggest banks thinks you might want to get used to it. BMO senior economist Douglas Porter wrote to capital markets customers to clarify a position in a national newspaper. The outlet had isolated his quote, and used it to downplay concerns about inflation. In reality, […]
Canadians must be hoping for a recession every year, since they’ve never made more money. A National Bank of Canada (NBC) analysis shows household wealth surged in Q2 2021. Their wealth actually surged so fast, the ratio of debt hasn’t looked smaller in almost 2 decades. The bank expects this to fund a significant spending […]
Canadian debt is dirt cheap, but it won’t be this cheap forever, warns BMO. Douglas Porter, the bank’s chief economist, expects the cost of borrowing to remain “low for long.” He just doesn’t see it being quite as low as the current stimulus driven environment. As governments taper stimulus to fund its spending, borrowing rates […]
Canada’s housing market giveth and taketh away. BMO senior economist Sal Guatieri dropped some notes on plummeting residential investment today. The segment of gross domestic product (GDP) fell so fast in Q2 2021, it held the whole economy back. The bank warned this is just the beginning for housing investment, as it comes back to […]
Canada is seeing a shortage of labor, but no one wants to pay more. BMO chief economist Douglas Porter broke down June’s average wage earnings. He found wages aren’t rising very much, especially when considering rising vacancies and high inflation. Canadian Wages Have Been Showing Low Growth Canadian wages aren’t growing very fast, even with […]
The US is seeing the odd combination of high unemployment and rising job vacancies. Canada has so far been able to avoid that, but signs of it occurring are beginning to appear, according to BMO. Douglas Porter, the bank’s chief economist, took a dive into business hiring data. Businesses are increasingly slowing activity due to […]
Canadian real estate always marches to the beat of its own drum, which may not be a good thing soon. BMO senior economist Robert Kavcic shared his take on last month’s home sale numbers. He observed a strong market, but said it continues to show we’re past peak momentum. He warns of a potential “bizzaro” […]
One of Canada’s top economists found the latest employment numbers “odd.” BMO chief economist Douglas Porter’s latest research note looked at employment data. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows April payrolls rising, but employment falling. The agency attributed these conflicting trends to a lag in payroll, which they say is typical. Porter pulled the receipts […]
Canadian Job Vacancies Hits A New Record, As 600,000 Positions Sit Empty Canada has hundreds of thousands of unfilled jobs, despite elevated unemployment levels. BMO weighed in on the vacancy numbers, which jumped to an all-time high in Q1 2021. Robert Kavcic, the bank’s senior economist, estimates vacancies are now the size of 2.5% of […]
