Canada’s oldest bank joined the largest bank in making upward revisions to its rate forecast. BMO now sees the Bank of Canada (BoC) raising even faster than thought. Their economists see interest rates ending at slightly different levels next year. However, the near-term message was the same — expect much higher interest rates by this […]
Canada’s Real Estate Bubble Won’t Be Protected By Population Growth: BMO
Canadian real estate prices won’t correct due to population growth, right? Well, BMO Capital Markets shared a different take with institutions this morning. The bank explains there is no historical evidence to support this narrative. During the last significant home price crash, Canada saw its population grow at a faster rate. They warn interest rates […]
That Bullish Canadian Real Estate Forecast? It’s Actually A Price Drop: BMO
A big Canadian real estate brokerage upgraded its price forecast, despite rising rates. Royal LePage now sees home prices rising 15.0% in 2022, an upgrade from the 10.5% previously forecast. Similar gains are seen for Toronto (16.5%), Montreal (12.5%), and Vancouver (15.0%) real estate, as well. It’s a fairly big jump for home prices that […]
Canadian Inflation Hits Highest Growth In 31 Years, Experts See Interest Rates Surging
Canadian households were hit with the fastest rise in living expenses in over 3 decades. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the Consumer Price Index (CPI) annual growth for March was the highest in over 31 years. High crude oil prices have been the focus of most media attention, but the issue is much more […]
Canadian Real Estate Sentiment Is Changing Fast, Price Discovery Underway: BMO
Canadian real estate’s epic run is starting to lose steam, according to one of the country’s Big Six banks. BMO wrote to clients to weigh in on the choppy data two major markets reported this week. National numbers won’t be available for a couple more weeks, but there are early signs of price discovery. Higher […]
Canadian Mortgage Rates Are Heading “Straight Up,” Will Test Real Estate: BMO
Canadian mortgage rates are set to go vertical as bond yields surge higher. BMO Capital Markets explained to clients that mortgage rates will rise “straight up.” As central banks increase the intensity for their fight against inflation, yields are rising. The result is soaring mortgage rates, expected to climb even faster in the coming months. […]
Bank of Canada Expected To Begin Doubling Rate Hikes Next Month, Reverse QE
Canada’s central bank is forecast to increase their fight against inflation. BMO Capital Markets released its latest forecast showing more aggressive rate hikes. They now see the Bank of Canada (BoC) hiking at double the previous forecast for at least two meetings. The accelerated hikes are just a part of the central bank’s battle to […]
Canadian Real Estate Could Be In For A “Correction Or Worse”: BMO
Canada’s excessive low rate policy has created a wave of speculative housing demand. That demand can end very quickly, as interest rates climb and real estate price growth slows. In a weekend note to clients, BMO explains it’s a less than ideal time to expect home prices to grow. Rising rates won’t have much of […]
Canada’s Real Estate Supply Shortage Is Being Declared A Myth In Pricey Markets
The supply shortage pushing Canadian real estate buyers to the limit doesn’t exist. It’s an unexpected take from the Union of British Columbia Municipalities (UBCM). The Government report, building on SFU City Program Director Andy Yan’s research, shows BC’s housing supply kept pace with its population. This follows a BMO Capital Markets report showing Ontario’s […]
Hyper-Stimulative Policies Are Driving Canadian Real Estate Prices, Not Supply: BMO
Canadian real estate prices are unique due to how expensive it has become, but not when it comes to recent price growth. BMO chief economist Douglas Porter explained, once again, monetary policy drove prices higher. Central banks adopted “hyper-stimulative” policies to drive excess demand to push prices higher. To illustrate this, he contrasts Canada with […]