Expectations for higher inflation in Canada are rising as it spreads to more components. BMO Capital Markets’ latest forecast contained upward revisions for the consumer price index (CPI). The measure of inflation is expected to rise faster this year as the commodity prices soar. The gap between the Bank of Canada (BoC) forecast and BMO […]
Canada’s economic recovery has hinged on real estate, and mortgage debt highlights it. Data from the Bank of Canada (BoC) shows mortgage debt slowing in growth in December 2021. However, slowing at the current annual growth rate might not look like much, growing at double the rate of GDP. Mortgage debt has grown so fast, […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Madness Or Supply? Canadian Real Estate Prices Don’t Add Up: BMO Canadian real estate prices are growing even faster than during the late ‘80s bubble. Annual growth reached 28% in January 2022, with prices rising a whopping 46.4% over the past two […]
Canadian real estate prices are soaring, but the fastest growth is not coming from big cities. BMO chief economist Douglas Porter tells clients to really think hard about this growth. Home prices are now rising even faster than at the peak of the 1980s real estate bubble. Most of that growth isn’t coming from emerging […]
There’s a good reason you might be feeling Canada’s economic recovery, and that’s because of how it’s measured. Canada’s gross domestic product (GDP) ripped higher in Q3 2021 and it’s just shy of the pre-2020 peak. Aggregate GDP measures are only useful for the size of an industry, not how it impacts people. For the […]
Canadian inflation didn’t hear your transitory call apparently — it’s widening to other categories. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the consumer price index (CPI) soared in January. The annual growth rate reached 5.1% for the month, advancing from 4.8% a month before. Canada’s inflation hasn’t grown this fast since September 1991, three decades ago. […]
Central banks may have held rates too low for too long, making it difficult to normalize. The US is now discussing the flattening of the “yield curve,” often a sign of an economic slowdown. Canada is ignoring a similar discussion, despite flattening even faster than the US. Flattening quickly turns into yield curve inversion, considered […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Housing Grew Faster Than Population, Speculative Mindset Building: BMO Canada’s housing supply is growing faster than the population and has been for decades. BMO economists dived into the latest Census data and found the population grew 5.2% from 2016 to 2021, […]
Canada’s national statistics agency revealed a surprise in the latest Census drop. BMO Capital Markets found Canada’s housing stock has grown faster than its population. Robert Kavcic, a senior economist at BMO, pulled historic data and found this to be the case for two decades. The bank acknowledges long-term supply issues, but believes how much […]
Canada and the US both reported the highest inflation in decades, but they have different takes on tackling it. In recent days, the Bank of Canada (BoC) softened its stance on rate hikes, blaming transitory issues. Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve has become more aggressive, calling an inflationary shock. Both countries are expected to raise […]
