Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate BMO Revises Worst-Case Forecast For Canadian Real Estate To A Much Larger Drop BMO thinks home prices can drop much more than they did just a few months ago. Over the next two years, the bank sees home prices making a 28.7% […]
Canada’s property bubble is reaching the point where few people in the country can buy. Home price growth is still surging across the country, but sales are falling. The odd combination made us curious how many households can still afford to buy. To the surprise of no Millennials, very few people can afford to buy […]
Canadian condo prices had a slow start compared to detached homes, but they’re now ripping higher. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows prices hit a record high in April. The typical condo apartment has seen prices advance by double digits just last month. Some markets have now produced annual gains well into the six […]
Canada’s largest bank still sees home prices making a steep drop in a worst-case scenario. RBC regulatory filings for Q2 2021 show the bank’s forecast for risk planning. Currently, they see price growth slowing from current levels, but still advancing. If housing surprises to the upside, they see home prices advancing a little more quickly. […]
US new home prices are growing at the fastest rate in well over a generation. US Commerce Department data shows the median price of a new single-family home nearly reached the all-time high in April. The real story is the rate of annual price growth though, which hasn’t advanced this quickly in over 30 years. […]
A large Canadian financial institution sees higher mortgage rates in your future. Desjardins’ mortgage forecast shows they expect mortgages to continue to climb from here. They see 5-year fixed mortgage rates hitting pre-pandemic levels by next fall. That is before the first expected hike to the overnight rate from the Bank of Canada. Canadian Mortgages […]
One of Canada’s largest banks totally thinks your home is worth the appraisal. They’re just going to double-check your income though, uh… for a totally unrelated reason. Home equity levels may be exaggerated, said BMO chief risk officer Patrick Cronin. On the bank’s Q2 2021 earnings call, the executive explained the bank is putting a […]
Canada’s largest bank thinks the real estate mania might be coming to an end, as conditions loosen. The market is still very tight, according to RBC senior economist Robert Hogue. However, buyer demand is falling much faster than new inventory. April reported the third consecutive month where buyers dropped out of the market faster than […]
Canadian real estate’s high flying prices are increasing the risk of a large correction. BMO Q2 2021 disclosures show the bank made big revisions to its risk forecast. In the best-case scenario, they see exuberance pushing prices more than twice as high as previously thought. In the worst case, they’ve more than doubled the size […]
Canadian real estate prices may be hitting peak growth soon… if a leading indicator continues to hold true. The sales to new listings ratio (SNLR) finally peaked at an absurdly high level, and has since made a sharp drop. The ratio, used as a measure of inventory absorption, has a track record of leading price […]
