Vancouver

Greater Vancouver Real Estate Developers Sold Fewer Than 75 New Homes Last Month

Greater Vancouver’s new home sales are slowing faster than anyone could have expected. Numbers from MLA Canada, a notable real estate advisory firm, show sales dropped in June. Absorption of new projects is now at a level so low, it’s expected to delay the launch of many new projects.

Real Estate Developers Launched The Fewest Units In Years

Greater Vancouver real estate developers launched the fewest new homes in years. There were 519 new homes launched in June, down 9.26% from the year before. The number of units launched is 29.58% lower than the firm had anticipated last month. This is the fewest number of units launched in two years, and likely much longer. MLA noted developers are now offering longer “preview” periods, testing public interest. The firm anticipates more projects will be delayed, as developers watch absorption trends.

Greater Vancouver New Pre-Sale Real Estate Listings

The number of newly available pre-sale units of new homes across Greater Vancouver.

Source: MLA Canada, Better Dwelling.

Greater Vancouver Sees Fewer Than 75 New Homes Sold

Greater Vancouver real estate developers had an exceptionally slow sales month for launches. An estimated 73 units were sold in June, down 73.4% from last year. This is the weakest number of new launch sales in at least two years of data. The exceptionally low number led to a multi-year low for absorption.

New Homes Had The Weakest Absorption In Years

The absorption of new listings, also known as the sales to new listings ratio (SNLR), fell to a multi-year low. The ratio fell to 14% in June, down 70.83% compared to the same month last year. An SNLR of 60% or higher is a seller’s market, and prices are expected to rise. When the ratio drops below 40%, the market is said to be a seller’s market and prices are expected to fall. Between 40 and 60 percent, and the ratio is balanced. The ratio is one of the indicators that can be used for getting a read on price trends. However, you should combine it with other indicators to get a more accurate picture.

Greater Vancouver New Home Pre-Sale Absorption

The ratio of sales to new listings of pre-sale homes across Greater Vancouver.

*MLA Canada number not available, Better Dwelling estimate based on inference data obtained from MLA.
Source: MLA Canada, Better Dwelling.

Greater Vancouver new home sales are down to a point not seen in recent history. Just over one in ten homes launched are being absorbed, meaning almost 9 homes are going to inventory. If it stays around this level, expect developers to delay even more projects in the near term.

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9 Comments

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  • Reply
    OM 3 weeks ago

    People aren’t buying them because lower prices don’t mean affordability and they have less equity. lol

    • Reply
      nonsense inspector 3 weeks ago

      “People aren’t buying them because lower prices don’t mean affordability” haha what?

      • Reply
        Marc 3 weeks ago

        What am I missing here?

        • Reply
          Steven 3 weeks ago

          OM probably meant that the lowered prices are still unaffordable to most in Vancouver area. If they currently own homes or properties, they have less equity to trade up or trade down, and this is applicable to investors who had previously loans to finance down payments for their kids’ purchases or for investment purchases.

    • Reply
      carlton 3 weeks ago

      True, a 600 sq ft apartment that was 1.2 million is now 1.1 million, that is still not affordable for most people.

      30 – 40% decrease would be needed to make them some what affordable.

  • Reply
    Chester Pape 3 weeks ago

    I guess the feds are finally clamping down on money laundering in the casinos and real estate market. Tell me which parent works 9 to 5 in China or India to buy their son or daughter the latest model Lamborghini to drive on campus at UofT Scarborough?

  • Reply
    Chhgn 3 weeks ago

    Sell it at 600 dollars /sq ft and all the units will be fine in seconds.

  • Reply
    Ken Wu 3 weeks ago

    Developers are selling at 2016/17 prices because that’s where they’re locked into due to the 2 yr time frame getting a project to market. These projects are getting further in the red every month and further from market pricing every month, so this trend will continue and worsen as real time prices fall further and further from developers’ locked in 2016/17 prices.

  • Reply
    straw walker 3 weeks ago

    The number of forced house sales has a severe effect on house prices.
    Are banks refusing to refinance clients mortgages. ?? Banks have the right to refuse to refinance anyone , especially those that are involved in flipping. This gives the owner 21 days to repay the mortgage either by using a different lender, or buy selling the house to repay the mortgage.
    Both are tough to do in 21 days, in a soft market.
    A number of recent house sales are really taking a hit… my guess is they’re being refused financing

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