Toronto

Toronto Condo Prices Drop In 3 Out of 4 Neighbourhoods, Still Up Over 26%

The Toronto real estate market extends it’s losing streak to the condo segment, where the benchmark price fell in 75% of neighborhoods.

Toronto Condo Prices Drop In 3 Out of 4 Neighbourhoods, Still Up Over 26%

Toronto real estate is seeing the market cool, and the condo segment is no exception. Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) numbers show prices were down in August, compared to the month before. However, these prices still retain pretty steep increases from last year.

Toronto Condo Prices Are Up To 52% Higher

The price of condos dropped, but still remain very high compared to last year. The benchmark price, a.k.a. the price of a typical condo, dropped to $460,600 – a 0.5% decline from the month before. Though prices still remain a massive 26.09% higher than the same time last year. The 416 condo benchmark declined to $478,000, a 0.68% decline from the month before. The benchmark is still 27.35% higher than the same month last year.

Source: TREB.

Only 25% of neighbourhoods saw an increase from the month before. The largest gain was observed in the TREB E10 district, around Rouge Park. There the benchmark condo rose to $377,400, up $12,400 from the month before. The condo benchmark in E10 is a mind boggling 52.94% higher than the same month last year. On the flip side, the biggest loser from the month before is C03, the Oakwood-Vaughan neighbourhood. The condo benchmark in C03 fell to $838,100, down $36,000 from the month before. The benchmark is up 26.46% from the same month last year.

Condo Sales Are Down 28%

The volume of sales across TREB are down significantly. TREB recorded 1,996 sales, down 28% from the same month last year. Breaking that down, the 416 saw 1,476 of those sales, down 24.5% from the same month last year. The 905 saw 520 of those condo sales, down 36.4% from the same month last year. Tapering sales are expected as prices rise, last year being a huge exception. A foreign buyer tax, mortgage stress testing, and higher interest rates also probably didn’t help with sales growth.

Source: TREB.

New Condo Listings Are Down Over 15%

The number of condo listings also saw a large decline across the GTA. TREB recorded 2,914 new listings, down 15.73% from the same month last year. The 416 saw 1,992 of those new listings, down 19.61% compared to last year. The 905 saw the other 922 new listings, down 5.91%. The decline in new listings is almost half the decline in sales. So unless a bunch of listings get cancelled – expect more buyer options. That’s code for ‘I expect softer sellers,’ by the way.

Condo prices are down, but they’re still posting huge gains compared to the same time last year. Some media outlets have reported that the condo market is slumping, but it’s kind of hard to say a 26% increase is a slump. Price growth is decelerating however, so it’s worth exercising a little extra caution.

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7 Comments

  • Reply
    Go away Hipster! 3 months ago

    These Hipsters and Yuppie Feminists need to suffer real estate depression….Let the condo and free hold town homes and detached homes fall in price!

    Let these Yuppies and Hipsters feel the Bern for negative equity on their mortgage.

    Chase away and Go away Starbucks and overpriced avocado joints.

    Go away Hipster and Yuppie! Live in downtown Toronto, not overpricing low-income areas you colonialist!

    • Reply
      AnOnlineCommenter 3 months ago

      Huh? You don’t honestly believe that a small segment of the population that hold significant amounts of student debts are the primary real estate owners? Most are renters. This isn’t the 80s. The Yuppies are contemplating retirement.

    • Reply
      Tommy 3 months ago

      None of those hipsters you’re referring to own anything. They’re renting. And yes, they’re spending their money on starbucks, fresh gear, and other stupidities to keep up with the crowd. This keeps them in debt which is good for those of us that are real estate investors.

  • Reply
    Gregory 3 months ago

    yes, up 26% is hardly a slump…. the 10 year average price increase is closer to 6% CAGR — so a pause is certainly healthy

    • Reply
      AnOnlineCommenter 3 months ago

      You’re right, I wouldn’t call it a slump. There’s a decent chance a real slump is coming, but even then, most homeowners aren’t likely to lose everything.

      • Reply
        Trevor 3 months ago

        You’re right, most aren’t likely to lose everything. But late (last 1-2 years) buyers will get squeezed if they are renewing into 2% or 3% rates plus a stress test that adds another 2 points to qualify for. That squeeze will hurt established owners just like it did in the late 80s because some laggards will be forced to sell and many new buyers won’t qualify for current prices. We are looking at headwinds for prices for the foreseeable future.

  • Reply
    Tommy 3 months ago

    Prices always drop over the summer. It’s amazing that condo prices have dropped in only 75% of neighborhoods rather than 100%. This indicates that the condo market is booming. Prices being up 26% is also an insane metric!

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