Canada was told that more supply would fix its housing crisis. Now that it’s here, it clearly wasn’t buyers clamouring for that supply—not at these prices, anyway. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows prices climbed slightly in April. However, the mild increase wasn’t due to rising sales or tightening inventory. Instead, the move looks more like an anomaly, with the demand balance plunging to the weakest April in 31 years.
Canadian Real Estate Prices Climb For A Third Month
The price of a typical home across Canada climbed 0.3% ($2,000) to $666,400 in April, rising for a third consecutive month. Prices are 4.1% (-$28.8k) lower than last year, and remain 20.8% (-$174.9k) below the record high set in March 2022. Prices are firming, but there’s still a long road back to recovery, which remains beyond the horizon.
🇨🇦: Existing Home prices climbed for a third-straight month, despite weak sales. https://t.co/b0C1oxTszO pic.twitter.com/zE0G7EirxC
— Better Dwelling (@BetterDwelling) May 14, 2026
Canadian Home Sales Hit Weakest April In 18 Years (ex-2020)
The mild price jump was not driven by sales. Only 42,930 existing homes sold in April, down 3.1% from last year’s already-weak numbers. It was the lowest volume for the month in 6 years, when activity was literally suppressed by physical restrictions. Putting 2020 aside, it was the weakest level for the month in at least 18 years.
🇨🇦: Existing Home prices climbed for a third-straight month, despite weak sales. https://t.co/b0C1oxTszO pic.twitter.com/zE0G7EirxC
— Better Dwelling (@BetterDwelling) May 14, 2026
Canada Sees Inventory Surge, Weakest Demand Balance In 31 Years
Earlier this month, a few of the larger boards blamed weak activity on the weather. Sellers apparently didn’t mind the chill, with 96,080 new listings in April, 2.0% higher than last year. This marks a 5-year high for the month, and a rare level of supply for April. New listings have only been higher 4 times in the past 18 years, all during major recessions.
🇨🇦: Canadian home sellers flood the market, new listings hit a 6-year high. #ToRe #VanRe https://t.co/b0C1oxTszO pic.twitter.com/6VJQ1UM42j
— Better Dwelling (@BetterDwelling) May 14, 2026
Even with new listings near recession-era levels, the demand balance was the bigger story. The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) fell to 44.7% in April, down 2.3 points from last year. Put on your Zubaz and grab your boombox, because we need to go back to 1995 to find a lower SNLR for April. That makes it the weakest April demand balance in 31 years. It’s only been weaker 9 times in the past 56 years.
The typically busy spring market is off to an oddly slow start—one of the weakest on record by most measures. Prices climbed, but falling sales and near-record new listings deliver a dose of reality. The reason behind the price move isn’t clear, but the combination suggests it’s more about volatility from weak volumes than firming demand.
What is clear is that the market can’t maintain this level of stagnation for much longer without something giving. Who cracks first: pent-up buyers, or sellers who are increasingly defaulting as they struggle to unload at these prices?
I remember clearly our finance minister thanking the public for running up the real estate market along with the bank of Canada holding rates abnormally low. These were supposed to be the experts. They had a responsibility to the public and betrayed that trust. Once we went beyond 5 times annual earnings it was obvious that cataclysm was going to be just around the corner. They delayed restricting expansion again for the sake of some short term gain. Where were the “experts” from the CMHC in all this? Where were the government economists that knew this was coming? You can’t tell me that they didn’t know they were just duplicating the US cataclysm of 2008… So that means either they were grossly incompetent or willfully blind. And they wonder why public trust in institutions is eroding… Meanwhile one got a cushy diplomatic job and the other one just carries on. I hope this resolves quickly but I fear ignorance and bad decisions are going to make this last a long long time.
Spring market about over. Now you will see the sellers start to panic when they realize this nothing much is going to sell in the next few months. By next spring, interest rate will be higher and prices could be down a lot more.
That’s right, I ain’t buyin’ no million dollar home!