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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

Canada Didn’t Have A Real Estate Supply Shortage, But Its Gov May Create One: BMO

April 20, 2023

Canada’s pull back in new housing starts has presented supply concerns, but they shouldn’t… yet. A new analysis from BMO Capital Markets reiterates they don’t see a lack of supply, but too much demand. Looking at the number of new housing starts to working age population growth, they show little deviation from historical norms. However, […]

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Canada

Canada’s Cheap Mortgage Credit Is Fueling Higher Real Estate Prices… Again

April 18, 2023

Canadian real estate prices are rising again, and everyone is scrambling to explain. Sure, you make a compelling argument that [insert any city in Canada] is the next Manhattan. However, Bank of Canada (BoC) data reveals a more blunt answer—witchcraft. Just kidding, it’s the reintroduction of cheap credit and the leverage that comes with it. […]

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Canada

Canada’s Epic Real Estate Bubble Means Mayors Can’t Afford Their Own Cities

April 13, 2023

How unaffordable is Canadian real estate? It’s reached the point that mayors of major cities can’t afford to buy a home in their own city at today’s prices. Not much sympathy from a typical household that makes significantly less. However, it should trigger more questions around how they’re dealing with housing. Are policymakers really that […]

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Canada | Global

A Global Hard Landing Is Now Expected, Worst Outlook In Decades: IMF

April 11, 2023

The global economy is past the point of being able to avoid a sharp recession, warns the watchdog of the global financial system. The IMF World Economic Outlook was released this week, forecasting that global real gross domestic product (GDP) will slow sharply in 2023. A hard landing is now expected, with advanced economies likely […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Owners Aren’t Selling, Here’s Why

April 6, 2023

Canada’s busy Spring market hasn’t begun with the typical flood of sellers. BMO Capital Markets warned investors a lack of new listings for sale might be a bigger problem than low sales. They attribute this to a number of factors, but they all boil down to one issue—there’s little reason to sell. Canada is hitting […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Prices Will “Rip” Higher Due To The Fed: Scotiabank

March 31, 2023

Canadian real estate might be slow right now, but a large bank thinks it’s going to “rip” soon. A new analysis from Scotiabank warns investors that the Federal government is at odds with the Bank of Canada (BoC) goals. The country’s central bank is trying to slow demand and the resulting inflation, while the Fed […]

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Canada

Canada Quietly Rolled Back Parts of Its Foreign Buyer Ban After Just 86 Days

March 29, 2023

Canada’s foreign buyer ban has been in effect for hours, so it’s time to start loosening it, no? Just 86 days after passing restrictions on non-resident buyers, the country has quietly loosened restrictions for non-resident investors, and temporary residents. Most likely because the ban was largely just a distraction from the speculation coming from inside […]

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Global

Blackstone’s Real Estate Shopping Spree Is Now A Mortgage Default Crisis

March 16, 2023

The world’s largest alternative asset manager looks a little strapped for cash. Blackstone made headlines over the past few years for its real estate shopping spree. Deploying what seemed like unlimited capital, it bought everything in sight. Heck, they probably even outbid you for grandma’s home. That’s come to an abrupt end, as it defaults […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Rates May Drop If The Bond Yield Plunge Sticks

March 14, 2023

Canada was no exception to the retreat of global bond yields after the US banking crisis hit last week. The Government of Canada (GoC) 5-Year Bond yield plunged at one of the fastest rates in a generation. It wasn’t alone, with most yields falling—potentially signaling lower borrower costs. That is, if the panic-driven drop sticks […]

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Canada

Canada’s Subprime Mortgage Problem Is Growing As Private Loan Use Surges

March 10, 2023

A Canadian regulator is sounding the alarms on private mortgages, but are they too late? The Financial Services Regulatory Authority of Ontario (FSRA), which oversees mortgage brokers, recently issued a warning on the risks of private mortgages. They have observed a boom in consumers using these high interest loans, often paired with interest only repayment.  […]

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