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Stephen Punwasi

Co-Founder and chief data nerd at Better Dwelling. Named a top influencer in finance and risk by Thomson-Reuters.

Canada

Canada’s Recent Immigrants Aren’t Paid Enough To Support High Home Prices

May 10, 2023

Canadian real estate prices are climbing on the country’s booming population. More demand means higher home prices, right? Not so fast, it may not be as straightforward as the narrative. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data released today shows immigrant income levels from a survey conducted in 2021. Recent immigrants to Canada earn significantly less than […]

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Canada

A Canadian Immigration Slowdown? Residency Applications Fall Sharply

May 9, 2023

Canada’s ambitious plan to grow its population through immigration hit a roadblock—it’s running out of applicants. Government of Canada (GoC) data shows applications received for permanent residency fell sharply in February. Despite record population growth, a soaring cost of living and slowing economy has resulted in a trend of fewer applications since peaking in 2021. […]

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Canada

Toronto and Vancouver Real Estate Prices Jump Similar To Mortgage Credit

May 3, 2023

Canada’s two largest real estate markets saw home prices rocket higher last month. Toronto and Vancouver real estate prices climbed in April, rising at the same rate. Both markets are seeing sales rise and tighter inventory, but it’s unlikely to have produced the same growth rate in both cities. Falling mortgage rates that introduced leverage […]

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Canada

Canadian Banks Are Extending Amortizations Over 35 Years To Avoid Defaults

April 27, 2023

What’s the secret to Canada’s remarkably low delinquencies, despite soaring interest rates? Never paying off those super-sized mortgages, apparently. Filings from Canada’s Big Six banks show a big share of mortgages had remaining amortizations of 30 years or longer in Q1 2023. Most of the Big Six reported at least a quarter of their portfolio […]

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Canada

Canada Didn’t Have A Real Estate Supply Shortage, But Its Gov May Create One: BMO

April 20, 2023

Canada’s pull back in new housing starts has presented supply concerns, but they shouldn’t… yet. A new analysis from BMO Capital Markets reiterates they don’t see a lack of supply, but too much demand. Looking at the number of new housing starts to working age population growth, they show little deviation from historical norms. However, […]

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Canada

Canada’s Cheap Mortgage Credit Is Fueling Higher Real Estate Prices… Again

April 18, 2023

Canadian real estate prices are rising again, and everyone is scrambling to explain. Sure, you make a compelling argument that [insert any city in Canada] is the next Manhattan. However, Bank of Canada (BoC) data reveals a more blunt answer—witchcraft. Just kidding, it’s the reintroduction of cheap credit and the leverage that comes with it. […]

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Canada

Canada’s Epic Real Estate Bubble Means Mayors Can’t Afford Their Own Cities

April 13, 2023

How unaffordable is Canadian real estate? It’s reached the point that mayors of major cities can’t afford to buy a home in their own city at today’s prices. Not much sympathy from a typical household that makes significantly less. However, it should trigger more questions around how they’re dealing with housing. Are policymakers really that […]

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Canada | Global

A Global Hard Landing Is Now Expected, Worst Outlook In Decades: IMF

April 11, 2023

The global economy is past the point of being able to avoid a sharp recession, warns the watchdog of the global financial system. The IMF World Economic Outlook was released this week, forecasting that global real gross domestic product (GDP) will slow sharply in 2023. A hard landing is now expected, with advanced economies likely […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Owners Aren’t Selling, Here’s Why

April 6, 2023

Canada’s busy Spring market hasn’t begun with the typical flood of sellers. BMO Capital Markets warned investors a lack of new listings for sale might be a bigger problem than low sales. They attribute this to a number of factors, but they all boil down to one issue—there’s little reason to sell. Canada is hitting […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Prices Will “Rip” Higher Due To The Fed: Scotiabank

March 31, 2023

Canadian real estate might be slow right now, but a large bank thinks it’s going to “rip” soon. A new analysis from Scotiabank warns investors that the Federal government is at odds with the Bank of Canada (BoC) goals. The country’s central bank is trying to slow demand and the resulting inflation, while the Fed […]

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