Canada’s job market is worse than it looks, according to one of Canada’s largest banks. National Bank of Canada (NBF) is warning investors the surprising growth in payroll data has been misread as strength, but zooming out reveals it’s now aligning with the weakness observed in the Labour Force Survey (LFS). When combined with plunging […]
Toronto real estate continued to spiral to new lows last month. Greater Toronto new home sales just printed the weakest August on record, according to Altus Group data. However, the weak demand was not for a lack of inventory, which came in at the highest level in at least 10 years. The issue is no […]
The Canadian economy is cooling but inflation accelerated as the base effect from gasoline faded. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows CPI accelerated in August, with core measures still running hot and shelter costs returning to breakneck growth. That puts the Bank of Canada (BoC) in a tricky situation at the upcoming rate announcement, as it […]
Canadian real estate showed minor improvement in August but remains far from normal. Existing home sales rose slightly, according to data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). However, the increase wasn’t enough to offset a record number of new listings, helping drive the sharpest monthly price drop in over a year. Canadian Real Estate […]
Canada’s real estate market finally got some good news—cheaper financing may be coming. The Bank of Canada (BoC) will cut rates three times before the traditionally busy Spring real estate market, according to a report from BMO Capital Markets. The recent labour market erosion has the market fully pricing in the first cut within the […]
Canada’s economy just keeps taking hits—the latest is this morning’s job report. The unemployment rate climbed sharply in August, according to Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey. What was once a demographic issue is now a demand problem. Real job losses are materializing, and they’re not limited to trade-exposed sectors. The data points to a deeper […]
The Canadian economy was cruising smoothly until this year, but its landing is now looking choppy. National Bank of Canada (NBF) economists are warning investors that the economy slipped into excess supply in Q2. The Big Six bank sees this problem continuing into Q3 with job creation drying up, GDP contracting, and investment fleeing into […]
Canada is bleeding capital at the fastest rate since the Financial Crisis. Statistics Canada’s (Stat Can) latest data shows foreign investors pulled billions from the country in Q2, with domestic investors joining the exodus. This goes beyond tariffs—the sheer scale and pace of outflows point to deeper structural cracks and fading confidence in the country’s […]
Canadian mortgage borrowing is improving, but don’t mistake it for a rebound. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows household mortgage credit grew in June—marking the third consecutive month of acceleration. Growth is slow and steady, but it still resembles a recession more than a recovery. Canadian Mortgage Debt Hits $2.3 Trillion, But A Recovery Still […]
Canadian headline inflation came down sharply but that doesn’t tell the full story. Statistics Canada data shows the headline consumer price index (CPI) climbed 1.7% year-over-year (YoY) in July, down from 1.9% in June. The deceleration was almost entirely due to gas prices, leading to a modeling skew. A deeper dive into the numbers reveals […]
