Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canada’s Fake GDP Growth: Fictitious Rents Add More Than Oil Fictitious rents are driving Canada’s recent GDP growth surprise, even more than energy prices. Nearly 25% of GDP growth in Q1 2026 came from imputed rent, compared to 15.1% from oil and […]
Canada’s economy is booming, as long as you ignore the actual data and upcoming revisions. Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) latest Labour Force Survey (LFS) shows seasonally adjusted employment climbed by 75,000 jobs in July. The unseasoned reality was a little less savoury, showing a 6-digit decline in the same month, along with rising unemployment. The picture […]
Greater Toronto home prices wiped out gains made in the first five months of 2026 in a matter of weeks. Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) July data shows prices fell to their lowest point in over five years. Both home sales and inventory fell, but one remains near record lows while the other is […]
Toronto’s entrepreneurial spirit is alive and well—but so is the region’s crushing reality. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows Toronto CMA saw the most April business openings in at least 11 years. At the same time, it also saw the second-most April business closures on record—only behind 2020. The combination has driven the number of active […]
Canada’s transition from a petro-currency to a mortgage-backed dollar no longer feels like a joke. While Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows strong recent GDP growth, few realize where that expansion comes from. Oil and gas might capture the headlines, but in Q1 2026, nearly a quarter of growth came from owner-occupied GDP. More bluntly, Canada’s […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Is The Fastest Falling In The G7, Remains Frothy Canadian real (inflation-adjusted) home prices fell 2.1% in Q4 2025, bringing the decline from their 2022 peak to 28.4%. The correction is the sharpest among G7 countries, after Canada led […]
Even more households are falling behind on their supersized mortgage payments. Canadian Bankers Association (CBA) data shows the mortgage arrears rate climbed in May. Mortgages at least 90 days past due have more than doubled since 2022, pushing the rate just shy of a decade high. New mortgage originations are also failing to offset outflows, […]
Halifax real estate prices may have slipped last month, but the province went the other direction. Nova Scotia Association of Realtors (NSAR) data shows home prices surged in June, making the second-largest monthly jump on record. Fewer sales and more listings have pushed the province’s demand balance to its weakest June since at least 2019. […]
The real estate industry is lowering expectations as dreams of a recovery fade fast. This month, both the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and the CMHC revised their 2026 forecasts for existing-home sales and prices. Last year’s optimism over a market rebound is now meeting reality, with each organization having cut its 2026 forecasts a […]
Canada’s population decline may just be a distant memory after the data is updated. In June, Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) population estimate contained a stark warning that its data will see an unusually large revision. CIBC economists expect the revision will be large enough to reverse the reported declines and expose a new problem—Canada’s job numbers […]
