Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canada’s Economy Falling Behind, US Growing 10x Faster Per Capita Canada might have been making headlines for its population-driven growth. However, that’s looking at aggregate GDP, which fails to adjust for population growth. Looking at GDP per capita reveals households are falling […]
Global real estate prices are falling, especially in more advanced economies. Bank of International Settlements (BIS) data shows real home price growth was negative for most markets in Q2 2023. The same advanced economies that saw the largest growth post rate cuts, are now leading the way lower. They also appear to be struggling with […]
The global economy is past the point of being able to avoid a sharp recession, warns the watchdog of the global financial system. The IMF World Economic Outlook was released this week, forecasting that global real gross domestic product (GDP) will slow sharply in 2023. A hard landing is now expected, with advanced economies likely […]
There was a Toronto real estate slowdown? Hard to notice with busy construction sites blanketing the city. The latest RLB Crane Index, tracking 14 key North American cities, shows crane use grew in Q1 2023. Toronto remains the reigning king of cranes, with almost 5x more than the next city on the list. North American […]
A global real estate bubble was brewing, and regulators are only now catching onto why it’s an issue. This week notes from the General Board of the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) annual meeting were released. The notes reveal members are concerned that inflated home prices present a systemic risk to the EU economy. Steep […]
Low rates led to a global real estate boom, now expected to correct as interest costs rise. This week, Oxford Economics warned a sharp global real estate correction is approaching. Rising rates, weak demand, and falling construction prices will take a lot of the froth out of the market. Global Real Estate Prices Expected To […]
The Canadian real estate bubble is kind of like a plane. People on it know it’s going fast but being inside of it means you don’t really appreciate the speed. On the outside though, the bubble looks like it just broke the sound barrier, especially in contrast to its G7 peers. US Federal Reserve data […]
Global real estate prices are reaching a level of overvaluation not seen in three decades. US Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (the Fed) data shows the house price to income ratio pushed significantly higher last year. The ratio, a fundamental valuation indicator, shows that global house prices to incomes have now blown past the peak […]
Global Real Estate Pandemic Real Estate Boom Due To Cheap Debt, Not Lack of Supply: US Federal Reserve It’s the credit, stupid. That’s basically the conclusion from a US Federal Reserve Board staff paper. The paper examined the price levers that have made home prices move, both from a supply and demand angle. Paying special […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices Are On Track To Drop $68k By Mid-Summer Higher interest rates have knocked the exuberance out of Canadian real estate. The sales to new listings ratio (SNLR) historically has led annual price growth by 3 months. It’s so […]
