A global real estate bubble was brewing, and regulators are only now catching onto why it’s an issue. This week notes from the General Board of the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) annual meeting were released. The notes reveal members are concerned that inflated home prices present a systemic risk to the EU economy. Steep […]
Low rates led to a global real estate boom, now expected to correct as interest costs rise. This week, Oxford Economics warned a sharp global real estate correction is approaching. Rising rates, weak demand, and falling construction prices will take a lot of the froth out of the market. Global Real Estate Prices Expected To […]
The Canadian real estate bubble is kind of like a plane. People on it know it’s going fast but being inside of it means you don’t really appreciate the speed. On the outside though, the bubble looks like it just broke the sound barrier, especially in contrast to its G7 peers. US Federal Reserve data […]
Global real estate prices are reaching a level of overvaluation not seen in three decades. US Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (the Fed) data shows the house price to income ratio pushed significantly higher last year. The ratio, a fundamental valuation indicator, shows that global house prices to incomes have now blown past the peak […]
Global Real Estate Pandemic Real Estate Boom Due To Cheap Debt, Not Lack of Supply: US Federal Reserve It’s the credit, stupid. That’s basically the conclusion from a US Federal Reserve Board staff paper. The paper examined the price levers that have made home prices move, both from a supply and demand angle. Paying special […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices Are On Track To Drop $68k By Mid-Summer Higher interest rates have knocked the exuberance out of Canadian real estate. The sales to new listings ratio (SNLR) historically has led annual price growth by 3 months. It’s so […]
The global economy may be in for a bumpy ride, warns the central bank for central banks. The Bank of International Settlements (BIS) broke down the environmental variables typical of those preceding a hard landing. Most advanced economies fit this bill and are advised to start tackling inflation immediately. Those in the worst circumstances are […]
Advanced economies replicating the same monetary policy mistakes are facing monster inflation. Now with additional external pressures driving inflation even higher, policy is tightening as the economy deteriorates. That’s the opposite of what usually happens, warns global forecasting firm Oxford Economics. Typically as the economy slows, rate cuts help to craft a soft landing. This […]
What’s driving global real estate higher? It’s the money, stupid. That’s a concise summary of research from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS). Known as the central bank for central banks, the BIS warned risks to global home prices are forming. Their researchers argue the majority of gains made since 2020 are due to monetary […]
Canadian real estate prices have increased at such a rapid pace, incomes aren’t even close. US Federal Reserve calculations show home prices in Canada have increased multiples of the rate of income growth as of Q3 2021. Most people have some idea how strange this situation is, but we need to zoom out to appreciate […]
