Hong Kong, New York City, and Paris? They have nothing on Canada’s biggest real estate bubbles. UBS released its annual Global Real Estate Bubble Index today. Two Canadian cities managed to rank near the top of the charts — Toronto and Vancouver. Toronto home prices now rank as the second biggest bubble in the world. […]
Global real estate prices have uncharacteristically surged during the recession. It didn’t come without consequence, warned the International Monetary Fund (IMF), this week. The agency’s regular Financial Stability Report said global home prices are now stretched. Stimulus policies backstopped the market, creating moral hazards. Buyers now have a “can’t lose” feeling, pushing them to pay […]
The Canadian bond market is sending real estate a message — credit is going to tighten. Government of Canada (GoC) 5-year bond yields hit the highest level in a year today. Yields for the segment are now triple the level they were last year. Since GoC bond yields influence mortgage rates, this will drive the […]
Canadian home prices just keep rising at a faster and faster rate. US Federal Reserve (The Fed) data shows real home prices in the country surged in Q2 2021. Actually, that’s really underselling what happened. Residential real estate prices in Canada are growing at the fastest rates in the G7. Not just over the past […]
Fewer Canadians quit their job due to satisfaction last month, and it’s bad news for wages. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows job quits due to dissatisfaction fell in September. It might sound like a good thing, but this often indicates a lack of confidence in the employment market. Falling quits means employers are in […]
Time for your weekly cheat on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Global Stagflation Reminiscent Of The 1970s Is Forming, And It’s Bad News: National Bank National bank of Canada’s chief economist warned of a new risk — stagflation. This is a period of high inflation and low economic growth, and the first signs […]
Elevated inflation is looking a lot less transitory, and might actually accelerate. That’s what the average business expects, according to the Canadian Federation Of Independent Business (CFIB) Business Barometer in September. The regular survey found Small and medium sized businesses expect costs to soar. Since higher business costs are passed to consumers, this may mean […]
Canadian real estate prices will get post-election support, but risks are piling up. Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, wrote to clients on the boom and risk of real estate. He sees policy enthusiasm and a lack of inventory boosting existing-home prices near-term. As prices continue to rise, he warns the risks […]
Canadians were given a boost to affordability when rates were cut at the start of the pandemic. The Bank of Canada‘s housing affordability index fell to the most affordable level in over a decade. By cutting interest costs, households can finance debt more cheaply, improving affordability. It also happens to increase demand though, pushing home […]
Canadian real estate is in for a short-term boost, but market factors are likely to cool demand. BMO‘s Robert Kavcic’s latest research note covered Toronto real estate’s September boom. The bank’s senior economist sees a short-term boost to demand, as conditions tighten. This should be tempered by a rising rate environment in the not-so-distant future. […]
