Canadian real estate might be slow right now, but a large bank thinks it’s going to “rip” soon. A new analysis from Scotiabank warns investors that the Federal government is at odds with the Bank of Canada (BoC) goals. The country’s central bank is trying to slow demand and the resulting inflation, while the Fed […]
Canada’s foreign buyer ban has been in effect for hours, so it’s time to start loosening it, no? Just 86 days after passing restrictions on non-resident buyers, the country has quietly loosened restrictions for non-resident investors, and temporary residents. Most likely because the ban was largely just a distraction from the speculation coming from inside […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Markets Are Up To 108% Overvalued: Moody’s Canadian real estate is seriously overpriced — with cities up to 108% overvalued. Moody’s Analytics estimates urban cities are 22.9% overvalued as of Q4 2021. Toronto (43.6%) and Vancouver (22.3%) also […]
Canada’s late 1980s real estate bubble was so big it resulted in a correction lasting over a decade. That might have been small in contrast to where the current one is heading. BMO senior economist Robert Kavcic says affordability is currently stretched with low rates. As rates go through normalization, the bubble is expected to […]
Canada’s oldest bank sees today’s real estate markets having a lot in common with the late 1980s bubble. In a research note to its financial markets customers, the Bank of Montreal (BMO) highlights the similar trajectory homes have made. A similar event that slowed home price growth during that period is approaching — higher interest […]
Canadian cities rank as some of the largest real estate bubbles globally, but Canada doesn’t see it that way. The Bank of Canada (BoC) House Price Exuberance Index Indicator (HPEI) ranks just two cities as exuberant in Q3 2021. Neither of those cities is Toronto or Vancouver, despite both ranking amongst the biggest real estate […]
Global real estate prices have uncharacteristically surged during the recession. It didn’t come without consequence, warned the International Monetary Fund (IMF), this week. The agency’s regular Financial Stability Report said global home prices are now stretched. Stimulus policies backstopped the market, creating moral hazards. Buyers now have a “can’t lose” feeling, pushing them to pay […]
Canadian real estate prices will get post-election support, but risks are piling up. Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, wrote to clients on the boom and risk of real estate. He sees policy enthusiasm and a lack of inventory boosting existing-home prices near-term. As prices continue to rise, he warns the risks […]
Either the Canadian real estate bubble is now a bubble on a bubble, or old enough it should be in school. The US Federal Reserve (the Fed) released its quarterly exuberance index for Q1 2021. The index, used to determine country-level housing bubbles, shows Canada is well into one. The unusual circumstances make it unclear […]
