Canadian households are borrowing as rates come down, but not in the way many anticipated. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows household debt made an unusually sharp climb in September. That growth wasn’t driven by mortgages—even though they make up the bulk of household credit. Even the mortgage growth that did occur likely reflects old commitments, […]
Canadian inflation may look cooler on paper, but you’re forgiven if you have a hard time seeing it in reality. Statistics Canada (StatCan) reported the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowed in October, entirely due to falling gas prices. Excluding gas, inflation was unchanged—while core measures remained at the upper bound of the central bank’s […]
Canada’s housing rut continues as a wave of unprecedented seller activity hits the market. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows the price of a typical home fell to a multi-year low in October. Despite lower interest rates and rising buyer incentives, sales fell short, reversing the progress made last year toward a recovery. Meanwhile, […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Investor Mortgage Crackdown Set For 2026, Delayed 3 Years Canada’s financial watchdog is finally moving its banks up to global risk standards after three years of delays. OSFI has told lenders to prepare to adopt the Basel III minimum output floor […]
Canadian consumer insolvencies are surging to levels not seen since the financial crisis, despite stronger employment. The Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy (OSB) just reported the highest September filings since 2009, countering any recent signs of improvement. If anything, the trend appears to be just getting started. Canadian Insolvencies Surge To Highest Level Since […]
Canada’s odds of recession remain above 1 in 3, according to the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) Market Participants Survey (MPS) for Q3 2025. The survey of banks, asset managers, and investment firms shows markets still expect a downturn within 6 months—and optimism is eroding even among the most upbeat respondents. Markets Give 1 In 3 […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Fitch Warns Canada of Credit Downgrade—That’s Bad News For Mortgages Canada’s supersized budget may soon cost households a lot more to borrow. Fitch Ratings warns the country faces a downgrade from AA+ to AA, citing gross debt more than twice the peer […]
Canada’s latest budget could cost households more than just higher taxes. Fitch Ratings warns Canada’s sovereign credit rating is at risk of a downgrade, citing persistently large deficits and no credible path back to fiscal normalcy. A downgrade would act as a red flag for investors—eroding confidence and raising borrowing costs across the economy, from […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canada Uses US Bubble Scheme To Transfer Investor Risk To Home Buyers Ontario is the latest province to offer sales tax relief to first-time buyers of new homes. The move follows federal incentives announced earlier this year, adding to the recently introduced […]
Canada’s banks aren’t worried about mortgage arrears—but should they be? The arrears rate climbed again in August, according to the Canadian Bankers Association (CBA), which represents the country’s largest lenders. Investors have brushed off the rise as a return to normal after record lows. What they may not realize is that the late 1980s also […]
