You’re not alone if you aren’t buying the “inflation is transitory” narrative. BMO Capital Market senior economist Robert Kavcic unpacked price change sentiment data. Small business owners see the cost of goods rising a lot over the next year. In fact, prices are expected to rise the most in at least a decade, by a […]
Canada’s money printer is still going brrr at a rate not seen in decades, but it’s starting to slow down. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows the rate of growth for the M2++ is now past its peak as of April. The broad measure of the country’s money supply is a leading indicator for inflation. […]
Canadian shelter costs are soaring, but haven’t contributed much to inflation data. That is, until now. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) updated its consumer price index (CPI) for May. The index is accelerating at the fastest rate in over half a decade, and for the most part — it’s not base-effect. Gasoline and shelter costs were […]
Canadian inflation is rising at the fastest pace in decades, but at least it’s just transitory… maybe. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) latest consumer price index (CPI) numbers show a big jump in prices for April. The sentiment shared between the Bank of Canada (BoC) and Stat Can is, this is just temporary. However, much of […]
The Canadian economy is recovering so fast, the central bank may soon have to hike rates to cool it down. That’s the take from the National Bank of Canada (NBC), who accelerated their forecast timeline today. They expect output gap closure by the middle of next year, as well as inflation running hot. Rising inflation […]
Another Big Six Canadian bank is warning inflation will be worse than people think. Not one, but two inflation research notes were published by BMO this week. Yeah, it’s only Tuesday. Chief economist Douglas Porter says there are many signs inflation will run hot. The bank warned, “if you’re not just a bit worried about […]
Canada’s central bank made an unusual move last month — it discredited its own inflation position. National Bank of Canada (NBC) deputy chief economist Matthieu Arseneau is “puzzled” why. In his latest report, he questions why the Bank of Canada (BoC) thinks its preferred measures overstate inflation. The economist took a dive through the data […]
Canadian real estate is finally starting to show up in inflation data, but it may not be as high as you would guess. BMO chief economist Douglas Porter shared his take on Canada’s inflation numbers. The consumer price index (CPI) is starting to make a sharp climb. Most of the increase is attributed to the […]
Canadian real estate prices are rising at a rapid rate, but officially the cost of living isn’t moving. What gives? Douglas Porter, BMO chief economist, discussed inflation and home prices in 2 separate notes this week. The issue has to do with how official inflation numbers are measured. Housing tends to influence inflation in an […]
Canadians got temporary price relief, but it could be a sign of more serious issues brewing. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) reported one of the largest declines in the history of the consumer price index (CPI) for March. The decline puts the index’ growth to one of the lowest levels in years. While low to no […]
