Canadian investment in building construction is soaring. Typically the leading indicator would mean a robust real estate market is coming. That may not be the case this time, according to Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data. Once the agency adjusts for inflation, investment in building construction contracts. The entire increase for investment (and then some) have […]
Canadian households will have to start cutting back and not because of higher rates. It’s the opposite, with low rates now producing toxic price growth for goods and services. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the average weekly wage saw a substantial increase in December. A closer look shows that rate failed to keep up […]
Canada’s central bank used lumber prices to dismiss inflation, but it’s doing the opposite. In October, the Bank of Canada (BoC) used lumber to back its transitory inflation narrative. Short-term supply chain issues are the problem, not monetary policy, they explained. Excess demand fueled by easy money has since been acknowledged as the culprit by […]
Canada’s central bank didn’t do much today, but they did give us a new Tiff-ism for Christmas. The Bank of Canada (BoC) made no changes in its rate announcement this morning, the last of the year. They also updated the public on their promise not to accumulate government bonds, calling the balance “roughly constant.” What […]
The Canadian economy is quickly going from a recovery to overstimulated. That was the take from the National Bank of Canada (NBC) today, anyway. In an unusual move, the Big Six bank wrote an open letter demanding a halt to stimulus. They also argue that the central bank needs to hike rates in the next […]
The US Federal Reserve just scrapped the transitory narrative, and it was felt in Canada. Reserve Chairman Powell candidly dismissed the transitory inflation explanation. This immediately began to flatten Canada’s yield curve, according to BMO. The bank’s chief economist, Douglas Porter, highlighted this point to clients in his latest research note. His analysis shows the […]
Canada’s inflation problem is getting worse, as the latest reading jumped to a multi-year high. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) ripped higher in October, according to Statistics Canada (Stat Can). Annual growth reached an 18-year high in the latest data, though you’d be lucky if your expenses increased by only that much. The majority of […]
The Canadian real estate market is forecast to be busy next Spring, but a hurdle just appeared. RBC Economics updated its forecast for the Bank of Canada (BoC) overnight rate in 2022. Canada’s largest bank sees inflation forcing the BoC to hike rates in April. In just five months, this would increase mortgage rates at […]
Canadians might see much higher borrowing rates in the not-so-distant future. Scotiabank chief economist Jean-François Perrault has forecast up to 8 rate hikes within 2 years. He sees elevated inflation backing the Bank of Canada (BoC) into a corner on the issue. Inflation appears to be a lot less transitory than thought. If that’s the […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top real estate stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices Are Overvalued By Up To 91%: Moody’s Canadian real estate is massively overvalued, said a global credit rating giant. Moody’s estimates the average urban market in Canada is 22% overvalued as of Q2 2021. Large overvaluations […]
